UCF Golden Knights (3-2) vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys (3-1)
October 10, 2026 12:00 pm EDT
The Line: Oklahoma State Cowboys -10.5 / UCF Golden Knights +10.5; Over/Under: 53.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The UCF Knights and the Oklahoma State Cowboys meet in week 6 college football action from Boone Pickens Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a UCF Knights vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys Prediction.
UCF Knights Recap
The UCF Knights come into this game looking to bounce back from their 27-17 loss at the hands of Houston last time out to sit at 3-2 this season. After this game, UCF will head home for a game against BYU.
Knights Have Two-Game Win Streak Snapped
Keyone Jenkins has thrown for 541 yards, 4 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 69.7% passing while Duke Watson leads UCF in rushing with 404 yards and 3 touchdowns through 5 games this season. Landen Chambers sits behind Watson on the ground with 138 yards and 3 touchdowns. Josh Derry leads the Knights in receiving with 220 yards and 17 catches along with a touchdown, while Waden Charles trails with 169 yards and 14 catches. On defense, Tackett Curtis has a team-high 33 tackles while UCF’s defense as a whole has combined for 11 sacks and 6 interceptions through 5 games this season.
Oklahoma State Cowboys Recap
The Oklahoma State Cowboys come into this game looking to add on to their 41-24 win over West Virginia last time out to sit at 3-1 this season. After this game, Oklahoma State will head on the road for a game against Houston.
Cowboys Win 3 Straight
Drew Mestemaker has thrown for 1,271 yards, 11 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 67.4% passing while Caleb Hawkins leads Oklahoma State in rushing with 441 yards and 2 touchdowns through 5 games this season. Ayo Adeyi sits behind Hawkins on the ground with 159 yards and 0 touchdowns. Wyatt Young leads the Cowboys in receiving with 410 yards and 22 catches along with 3 touchdowns, while Justin Bowick trails with 344 yards and 20 catches. On defense, Ethan Wesloski has a team-high 36 tackles while Oklahoma State’s defense as a whole has combined for 8 sacks and 3 interceptions through 5 games this season.
UCF Knights @ Oklahoma State Cowboys Betting Trends: Week 6
Why the Oklahoma State Cowboys will win
- UCF has lost each of its last 11 road games.
- Oklahoma State has won each of its last 10 games as an AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team at Boone Pickens Stadium.
- Oklahoma State has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games.
- UCF has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight road games against conference opponents.
- Oklahoma State has won the first quarter in each of its last five October games as an AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.
- UCF has lost the first half in eight of its last nine road games.
Why the UCF Knights will win
- Oklahoma State has lost each of its last nine home games against conference opponents.
- The underdog has won three of Oklahoma State’s last four games.
- Oklahoma State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five games in October.
- UCF has covered the spread in each of its last three games as an underdog against teams from Oklahoma.
- UCF has won the first quarter in three of its last four games in October.
- Oklahoma State has lost the first half in each of its last 10 home games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Oklahoma State’s last six games as a favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of UCF’s last six games against teams from Oklahoma have gone UNDER the total points line.
Oklahoma State Cowboys Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 6, Sam Keltner ranks T5th amongst FBS players for made field goals (10) this season.
UCF Knights Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 6, Demari Henderson ranks T1st in the Big 12 Conference for interceptions (2) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Oklahoma State ranks 2nd among FBS teams for yards per game this season (548.3).
- Oklahoma State ranks T2nd among FBS teams for red zone percentage against this season (60.0).
- UCF has recorded fewer total yards than its opponents in each of its last four games – equal-longest active streak in the FBS.
- UCF ranks 130th among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (26:28).
UCF Knights vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys Prediction
I’m leaning towards UCF and the points here. I just think this is a case of too many points as I see a one score game happening here in all honesty. The Cowboys are the superior offense, but that defense has potential to let teams hang around and I think UCF is worth the look here plus the points.
