Oklahoma vs Tennessee Prediction 9-21-24 College Football Picks

In this article, we will formulate an Oklahoma vs Tennessee prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, September 21st at Memorial Stadium in Norman, Oklahoma. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 4  matchup. 

Oklahoma Sooners Betting Preview

The Oklahoma Sooners are 3-0 this year after they defeated Tulane by a score of 34-19 in their last game. Oklahoma scored the first 21 points in this game, but their lead was cut to 24-19, before they pulled away. The Sooners outgained Tulane by a total of 349-279, won the turnover battle 2-1, and went 8-16 on third down in the game. Jackson Arnold threw for 169 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while also rushing for 97 yards and two scores. 

Oklahoma defeated Temple by a score of 51-3 and Houston by a score of 16-12 in their first two games. The OU offense has scored 33.7 points per game with 166.3 passing yards and 159 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 11.3 points per game this season. The Sooners have gone 31% on third down and 3-3 on fourth down so far this season. Jackson Arnold has completed 62.8% of his passes for 484 yards, seven touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Deion Burks has caught 22 passes for 169 yards and three scores. 

Tennessee Volunteers Betting Preview

The Tennessee Volunteers are 3-0 this season after they defeated Kent State by a score of 71-0 last week. Tennessee scored 37 points in the first quarter and they were able to roll to the easy victory, despite only scoring six points in the second half. The Volunteers outgained Kent State by a total of 740-112, tied the turnover battle at zero, and went 9-15 on third down in the game. Nico Iamaleava threw for 173 yards and one touchdown, while DeSean Bishop rushed for 120 yards and two scores. 

Tennessee defeated Chattanooga by a score of 69-3 and NC State by a score of 51-10 in their first two games. The Tennessee offense has scored 63.7 points per game with 303 passing yards and 336.3 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 4.3 points per game this season. The Volunteers have gone 56.8% on third down and 5-6 on fourth down through three games. Nico Iamaleava has completed 71.6% of his passes for 698 yards, six touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Dylan Sampson has rushed for 357 yards and nine scores. 

Why Tennessee will beat Oklahoma

• The favorite has won each of Oklahoma’s last 10 games at Oklahoma Memorial Stadium.
• Oklahoma has lost seven of its last eight games as an underdog.
• Tennessee has covered the spread in each of its last four games.
• Oklahoma has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four September games against top-15 AP-ranked teams.
• Tennessee has won the first quarter in four of its last five road games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Oklahoma’s last six games against top-15 AP-ranked teams has gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of Tennessee’s last four September games against top-15 AP-ranked teams has gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Oklahoma ranks T125th among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (2.0).
• Oklahoma ranks 12th among FBS teams for H1 opponent points per game this season (4.0).
• Tennessee ranks 1st among FBS teams for points per game this season (63.7).
• Tennessee ranks 1st among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (22.7).

Oklahoma vs Tennessee Prediction 

Tennessee rolls into this game after dominating their first three games of the season, but they will face a tricky road environment here. The Sooners are also 3-0 on the season, but they did have some struggles in their 16-12 win over Houston in week two. I know Tennessee has not faced anyone decent, especially after seeing NC State struggle, but their offense looks unstoppable. I think Iamaleava will continue his red-hot start to the season, while the defense will be able to slow down Oklahoma enough to pull away. Take the Volunteers here.