Georgia State Panthers (0-0) vs. Ole Miss Rebels (0-0)
August 30, 2025 7:45 pm EDT
The Line: Ole Miss Rebels -35.5; Over/Under: 60.5
(Get latest betting odds)
Ole Miss and Georgia State meet Saturday in college football action from Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. Here’s a Ole Miss Rebels vs Georgia State prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Ole Miss vs Georgia State pick.
Has Ole Miss Reloaded Enough?
The talk this offseason has been about how Ole Miss has reloaded, not rebuilt, but the question is if that reload is enough. We know what Lane Kiffin brings with his team, a fast-paced offense that is going to be fun to watch, the question is do they have the right quarterback to run it. Austin Simmons, on paper, looks like he has all the makings of being a superstar, and his numbers are probably going to be crazy this year. Could we be talking about a Heisman Trophy winner? Harrison Wallace has been brought in from Penn State, and he should be in line for a big season.
On defense last season, Ole Miss was actually really good, but it was often overlooked because of the offense. The problem for Ole Miss, though, is a lot of the defense from that year’s squad is off the team, and some of the new guys are going to have to really step up here. Zxavian Harris is back, and he is going to be the vocal and emotional leader of this defense. His play on the field should do plenty of talking by itself.
Why Ole Miss Will Beat Georgia State
- Ole Miss has won each of its last 10 games against non-conference opponents.
- Georgia State has lost five of its last six road games.
- Ole Miss has covered the spread in nine of its last 10 games against non-conference opponents.
- Georgia State has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five road openers.
Can Georgia State Bounce Back?
The big question for Georgia State is how it can bounce back from last year. Georgia State finished with a 3-9 record and only 1-7 during conference play. The passing game actually didn’t look all that bad last season at least with the stats, but a big reason was the garbage time they had when they were down big. Top running back Freddie Brock left for Oklahoma State, but this running back is still good. Rashad Amos came in from Ole Miss and Branson Robinson from Georgia, and both guys are expected to have a huge role this season. On defense last season, Georgia State gave up 34 points per game, and if that’s not improved that could be a major issue in this game. If they fall behind early, this one could get ugly.
Why Georgia State Will Beat Ole Miss
- Georgia State has won three of its last four games in August.
- Ole Miss has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium.
- Georgia State has covered the spread in three of its last four road games against AP-ranked teams.
Matchup/League Facts
- Ole Miss ranked 1st among FBS teams for average point differential in first quarters last season (+8.5).
- Ole Miss ranked 2nd among FBS teams for points allowed per game last season (14.4).
- Georgia State ranked 129th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game last season (2.8).
- Georgia State ranked 129th among FBS teams for average point differential in first quarters last season (-5.5).
Ole Miss vs Georgia State Prediction
Is Georgia State better this season? Probably. Is it going to show here? Not at all. Austin Simmons is the real deal for Ole Miss, and he’s going to dominate this game here. Georgia State struggled with the defense last season, and it’s going to be ugly again here. The Ole Miss defense also is often overlooked, and they are going to be able to slow down the one-dimensional offense of Georgia State. At halftime, this game is going to be a blow out, and in the second half, it’s going to get even worse. Ole Miss is going to cruise here. Back the Rebels to win and cover the spread.
