Ole Miss vs Miami Prediction Football Picks Today 1/8/26

The Miami Hurricanes and the Ole Miss Rebels meet in a college football playoff matchup from State Farm Stadium on Thursday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Ole Miss vs Miami Prediction.

Miami Hurricanes Recap

The Miami Hurricanes come into this game looking to build on their 24-14 win over Ohio State last time out to improve to 12-2 this season. 

Hurricanes Looking For First National Championship Appearance Since 2003

Carson Beck has thrown for 3,072 yards, 25 touchdowns and 10 interceptions on 74.7% passing while Mark Fletcher Jr. has 685 rushing yards and 10 touchdowns on the ground so far this season. CharMar Brown also has 389 rushing yards with 5 scores while Malachi Toney has 84 receptions for 970 yards and 7 touchdowns to lead Miami’s receivers. Keelan Marion has 557 receiving yards and 41 grabs and CJ Daniels has 35 receptions for 391 yards and 7 touchdowns while eight more Hurricanes have 100+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Mohamed Toure has a team-high 54 total tackles while Akheem Mesidor has a team-high 7 sacks and Jakobe Thomas has a team-high 4 interceptions so far this season. As a unit, Miami’s defense has combined for 34 sacks and 12 interceptions so far this season.

Why the Miami Hurricanes will win

• Miami (FL) has won each of its last three games against top-10 AP-ranked teams.
• Ole Miss has lost nine of its last 12 games as a top-10 AP-ranked team against an AP-ranked team.
• Miami (FL) has covered the spread in each of its last six games against AP-ranked teams.
• Ole Miss has failed to cover the spread in nine of its last 12 games as a top-10 AP-ranked team against an AP-ranked team.

Ole Miss Rebels

The Ole Miss Rebels come into this game looking to add on to their 39-34 win over Georgia last time out to improve to 13-1 this season. 

Rebels Aiming For First Title Game Appearance Since 1962

Trinidad Chambliss has thrown for 3,660 yards, 21 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 66.4% passing while Austin Simmons has 744 passing yards, 4 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 60% passing. Kewan Lacy has a team-high 1,464 rushing yards and 23 touchdowns while Harrison Wallace III has a team-high 894 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns. Dae’Quan Wright has 36 grabs for 571 yards and 4 touchdowns while Deuce Alexander has 43 catches for 677 yards. De’Zhaun Stribling has 734 receiving yards and 6 TDs while Cayden Lee has 578 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns. On defense, TJ Dottery has a team-high 87 total tackles while Princewill Umanmielen has a team-high 8 sacks. Kam Franklin has 5 sacks and Will Echoles has 4.5 sacks while Wydett Williams Jr. has 3 interceptions as well this season. As a unit, Ole Miss has combined for 29 sacks and 8 interceptions so far this season.

Why the Ole Miss Rebels will win

• Ole Miss has won each of its last 15 games against non-conference opponents.
• Miami (FL) has lost each of its last four games as a favorite at neutral venues.
• Ole Miss has covered the spread in each of its last five games against opponents from the Atlantic Coast Conference.
• Miami (FL) has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games as a favorite at neutral venues.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Ole Miss’ last four games against non-conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of Miami (FL)’s last four games against AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Ole Miss vs Miami Prediction

I’m on the over here. I think we’re getting some points in this game in all honesty, despite what these defenses have shown in the playoffs so far. Miami has a nasty front seven, but Trinidad Chambliss is on another level right now, and Miami’s probably going to be able to run all day on the Rebels in this game. Give me the over.