Oregon State vs Fresno State Prediction Football Picks Today 9/6/25

In this article we will formulate an Oregon State vs Fresno State prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, September 6th at Reser Stadium in Corvallis, Oregon. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 2 matchup. 

Oregon State Beavers Betting Preview

The Oregon State Beavers are 0-1 this year after they lost to California by a score of 34-15 last week. Oregon State cut the deficit to 14-3 in the second quarter, but they trailed 17-3 at the half. The Beavers traded scores with Cal to start the second half and never got closer than 14 points in the defeat. Oregon State was out gained by a total of 363-318, went 3-11 on third down, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 2-0. Maalik Murphy went 21-33 for 244 yards and one interception, while Anthony Hankerson rushed 15 times for 42 yards and one score. Trent Walker led the Oregon State receivers with nine catches for 136 yards in the game, while Hankerson added four catches for 22 yards. The Oregon State defense was led by Skyler Thomas, who had nine tackles in the game, while the team had zero sacks and four tackles for loss. 

Oregon State generated over 300 total yards in the game, but they only scored 15 points, which was mainly caused by a poor third down conversion rate. The Beavers threw the ball decently well, but they allowed 4.3 yards per rush on defense. This was not a good sign for Oregon State, as Cal is not expected to be very good this season. 

Fresno State Bulldogs Betting Preview

The Fresno State Bulldogs are 1-1 this season after they defeated Georgia Southern by a score of 42-14 last week. Fresno State led 10-7 after the first quarter, but they trailed 14-13 at the half. The Bulldogs came out strong in the second half and outscored Georgia Southern by a total of 29-0 to pull away with the win. Fresno State out gained Georgia Southern by a total of 527-242, went 6-10 on third down conversions, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 3-1. EJ Warner went 20-27 for 176 yards and two interceptions, while Bryson Donelson rushed for 167 yards and one score on 23 carries. Jayon Farrar caught three passes for 39 yards in the game. The Fresno State defense recorded zero sacks and had just two tackles for loss. 

Fresno State opened their 2025 season with a 31-7 loss to Kansas in week zero. Fresno State is scoring 24.5 points per game and they are allowing 22.5 points against per game, while also averaging 177.5 passing yards and 194 rushing yards per game. EJ Warner has thrown for 355 yards and four interceptions, Bryson Donelson has rushed for 201 yards and one touchdown, and Josiah Freeman has caught six passes for 67 yards so far this season. 

Why Oregon State will beat Fresno State

• Oregon State has won each of its last 11 September games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Fresno State has lost each of its last six games as an underdog.
• Oregon State has covered the spread in 10 of its last 11 September games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Fresno State has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six September games as a road underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Oregon State has won the first half in five of its last six games against opponents from the Mountain West Conference at Reser Stadium.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of Fresno State’s last nine September games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of Oregon State’s last four games against opponents from the Mountain West Conference have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Oregon State ranks T1st among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (100.0).
• Oregon State ranks T131st among FBS teams for average point differential in first quarters this season (-14.0).
• Fresno State ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
• Fresno State ranks 5th among FBS teams for 1st downs this season (42).

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Oregon State vs Fresno State Prediction 

Fresno State was able to bounce back from their loss in week zero with a huge second half against Georgia Southern, but the first half was definitely a concern. The Bulldogs will look for more consistent play here, but Oregon State will be trying to bounce back from their first loss. The Beavers are the better team in my opinion and I think they will show a ton of improvement from week one to week two, as I really like Murphy and Hankerson. Take Oregon State to cover at home.