Oregon Ducks (2-0) vs. Oregon State Beavers (2-0)
September 14, 2024 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Oregon State Beavers +20.5 / Oregon Ducks -20.5; Over/Under: +52.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Oregon Ducks and the Oregon State Beavers will meet Saturday in college football action from Reser Stadium. Here’s an Oregon State vs Oregon prediction. We will be looking at this from a betting perspective and determining the best Oregon State vs Oregon pick.
Oregon Ducks Betting Preview
Oregon opened up the season with a pretty tight matchup versus Idaho. The Ducks were up 14-0 at the break and had to hang on for a 24-14 win. QB Dillon Gabriel posted 380 yards with two scores, and Jordan James led the rush with 95 yards and a TD of his own.
In their second matchup versus Boise State, the Ducks had a 20-14 deficit by the break but ultimately came back for the win 37-34. Gabriel threw for 243 yards and two scores, and James led the rush again with 17 totes for 102 yards. Evan Stewart caught five balls for 112 yards and a TD. Oregon will meet UCLA after this one.
Oregon State Beavers Betting Preview
Over on the Oregon State side, they kicked things off against Idaho State this year. The Beavers scored points in every quarter on the way to a 38-15 win. Gevani McCoy bagged 114 pass yards and a score. Jamious Griffin and Anthony Hankerson were the real MVPs though, combining for four TDs and a whopping 315 rush yards.
The Beavers took on the San Diego State Aztecs in game two. Oregon State would lead 7-0 for most of the game, then finished off a 21-0 shutout with a couple of late scores. McCoy had 160 yards passing this time, while the Griffin/Hankerson duo had 34 carries for 160 yards and two scores.
Why the Oregon State Beavers will win
- Oregon State has won each of its last seven games against non-conference opponents at Reser Stadium.
- Oregon has lost three of its last four games at Reser Stadium.
- Oregon State has covered the spread in eight of its last nine September games at Reser Stadium.
- Oregon has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Oregon State has won the first half in each of its last seven games against non-conference opponents at Reser Stadium.
- Oregon State has won the first quarter in eight of its last nine games against non-conference opponents at Reser Stadium.
Why the Oregon Ducks will win
- Oregon has won each of its last 23 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Oregon State has lost 20 of its last 21 games as an underdog against AP-ranked teams.
- Oregon has covered the spread in each of its last four road openers as a favorite.
- Oregon State has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six September games as an underdog against AP-ranked teams.
- Oregon has won the first quarter in five of its last six games against non-conference opponents.
- Oregon State has lost the first half in each of its last five games against opponents from the Big Ten Conference.
Total Points Facts
- Five of Oregon State’s last six September games at Reser Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Four of Oregon’s last five games as a favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Oregon State ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
- Oregon State ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
- Oregon ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q1 win percentage this season (1.000).
- Oregon ranks T29th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (1.5).
Oregon State vs Oregon Prediction
I’ll go with Oregon State here. The Beavers were in great form during their win over San Diego State last weekend. Oregon State posted 420 total yards (237 rushing), 23 first downs, and a 41:07 mark in time of possession. Defensively Oregon State shut down the Aztecs with 179 yards allowed (107 passing), seven first downs, and a 2-of-12 success rate on third-down tries.
As for Oregon, they had some struggles on Saturday versus a gritty Boise State squad. The Ducks had just 16 first downs, two lost fumbles, and a 4-of-12 rate on third downs. That said, Oregon powered out the win. This weekend’s matchup should be pretty epic as well, and I like the Beavers a little better on the cover.
