Oregon State vs San Jose State Prediction 11-9-24 College Football Picks
San Jose State Spartans (5-3) vs. Oregon State Beavers (4-4)
November 9, 2024 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Oregon State Beavers -3.5 / San Jose State Spartans +3.5; Over/Under: +54.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The San Jose State Spartans and the Oregon State Beavers meet Saturday in college football action from Reser Stadium. Here’s an Oregon State vs San Jose State prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Oregon State vs San Jose State pick.
San Jose State Spartans Betting Preview
The Spartans kicked things off this year with wins over Sacramento State, Air Force, and Kennesaw State before a loss to Washington State in overtime. A 2-2 run followed with wins over Nevada and Wyoming mixed with losses to Colorado State and Fresno State.
In the Fresno State game back on October 26, the Spartans came out of the third quarter with a 27-7 deficit and eventually lost 33-10. QB Walker Eget threw for 202 yards, one TD, and two picks, while Floyd Chalk carried 10 times for 89 yards to top the rushing.
Oregon State Beavers Betting Preview
Over on the Oregon State side, they won four of their first five games over Idaho State, San Diego State, Purdue, and Colorado State with a loss to Oregon otherwise. Next came three straight losses to Nevada, UNLV, and California, though.
In the California game, the Beavers were demolished 31-0 in the first half and limped to a 44-7 blowout. QB Ben Gulbranson had 131 yards with a score, and Anthony Hankerson led the rush with 49 yards. Trent Walker caught the TD among his five grabs for 58 yards.
Why the Oregon State Beavers will win
- Oregon State has won 16 of its last 17 games against non-AP-ranked teams at Reser Stadium.
- San Jose State has lost each of its last six road games against non-conference opponents.
- Oregon State has covered the spread in seven of its last eight home games in November.
- San Jose State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games.
- Oregon State has won the first half in each of its last eight games against opponents from the Mountain West Conference.
Why the San Jose State Spartans will win
- San Jose State has won each of its last four games in November.
- Oregon State has lost each of its last three games.
- San Jose State has covered the spread in seven of its last eight November games as a road underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Oregon State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games against non-conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of San Jose State’s last three games against non-AP-ranked teams has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of Oregon State’s last three games as a favorite has gone OVER the total points line.
Oregon State vs San Jose State Prediction
I’ll lean toward Oregon State. Probably not touching this one though, as both teams could use a good showing here. The Beavers were slapped around pretty badly by California, gaining just 200 yards of offense (140 passing), 3.6 yards per play, 12 first downs, and 1-of-12 on third-down tries. Oregon State’s defense gave up 478 yards on the other side (364 passing) and 28 first downs along the way.
As for San Jose State, they gave up 401 yards (275 passing) and 12-of-19 on third downs in their loss to Fresno State. The Spartans offense went just 5-of-15 on third downs themselves and had four interceptions. San Jose State hasn’t gotten past 24 points in any of the last three games, so I think the Beavers can keep a cover pace here.
