PAC-12 Championship: Utah vs Oregon 12/3/21 College Football Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Utah Utes and Oregon Ducks clash Friday night in the college football Pac-12 Championship Game at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas. The Oregon Ducks look to win their 14th conference title in school history. The Utah Utes look to win their 25th conference title in school history.

The Oregon Ducks have won three of their last five non-home games. Anthony Brown is completing 64.4 percent of his passes for 2,536 yards, 15 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. Devon Williams and Kris Hutson have combined for 898 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Travis Dye has 37 receptions. The Oregon Ducks ground game is averaging 213.3 yards per contest, and Travis Dye leads the way with 1,036 yards and 14 touchdowns. Defensively, Oregon is allowing 24.4 points and 371.3 yards per game. Noah Sewell leads the Oregon Ducks with 94 tackles, Kayvon Thibodeaux has 6 sacks and Verone McKinley III has 5 interceptions.

The Utah Utes have split their last six non-home games. Cameron Rising is completing 62.8 percent of his passes for 2,109 yards, 17 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Britain Covey and Brant Kuithe have combined for 930 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns, while Dalton Kincaid has 29 receptions. The Utah Utes ground game is averaging 218.4 yards per contest, and Travion Thomas leads the way with 978 yards and 18 touchdowns. Defensively, Utah is allowing 21.5 points and 325.3 yards per game. Devin Lloyd leads the Utah Utes with 100 tackles, Mika Tafua has 9.5 sacks and Karene Reid has 1 interception.

The Ducks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in December and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. The Utes are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games and 16-7 ATS in their last 23 conference games. The under is 4-1 in Ducks last 5 games as an underdog. The over is 6-2 in Utes last 8 games overall. The over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.

We just saw the Utes beat up on the Ducks a couple of weeks ago, but this time they won’t have that nasty home crowd at Rice-Eccles Stadium. Utah may be the more balanced team here and is playing the better football down the home stretch, but the Ducks are better offensively than what they showed in the first meeting, and they’ll certainly have revenge with the Utes knocking them out of the playoff convo. While I respect Utah’s program, and they could truly be the better team here, I also believe Oregon is better than what it showed in the first meeting. I find value in the points, here. Give me the Ducks.