Ohio State Buckeyes (6-1) vs. Penn State Nittany Lions (7-0)
November 2, 2024 12:00 pm EDT
The Line: Penn State Nittany Lions +3.5 / Ohio State Buckeyes -3.5; Over/Under: +47.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Ohio State Buckeyes and Penn State Nittany Lions meet Saturday in week 10 college football action at Beaver Stadium. Here’s a Penn State vs Ohio State Prediction. This article will include a Penn State vs Ohio State Pick.
Ohio State Buckeyes Betting Preview
The Ohio State Buckeyes beat Nebraska, lost to Oregon, and they play Purdue next. The Ohio State Buckeyes have won 6 of their last 8 road games. Will Howard is completing 74 percent of his passes for 1,795 yards, 17 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Jeremiah Smith and Emeka Egbuka have combined for 1,169 receiving yards and 14 touchdowns, while Carnell Tate has 19 receptions.
The Ohio State Buckeyes ground game is averaging 188 yards per contest, and Quinshon Judkins leads the way with 520 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Ohio State is allowing 11.9 points and 254.4 yards per game. Sonny Styles leads the Ohio State Buckeyes with 43 tackles, JT Tuimoloau has 4 sacks and Denzel Burke has 2 interceptions.
Penn State Nittany Lions Betting Preview
The Penn State Nittany Lions beat USC and Wisconsin, and they play Washington next. Penn State has lost one home game since November 2022. Drew Allar is completing 71.3 percent of his passes for 1,640 yards, 12 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Tyler Warren and Harrison Wallace III have combined for 909 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Liam Clifford has 14 receptions.
The Penn State Nittany Lions ground game is averaging 197.1 yards per contest, and Kaytron Allen leads the way with 509 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Penn State is allowing 14.3 points and 267.4 yards per game. Jaylen Reed leads the Penn State Nittany Lions with 44 tackles, Abdul Carter has 4 sacks and Tony Rojas has 1 interception.
Why the Penn State Nittany Lions will win
- Penn State has won each of its last seven games.
- Ohio State has lost each of its last three November games against AP-ranked teams.
- Ohio State has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine games as a favorite against top-15 AP-ranked teams.
- The team ranked 3rd in the AP Poll has covered the spread in each of its last four games.
- Penn State has won the first half in 10 of its last 12 home games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Penn State’s last six home games in November has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of Ohio State’s last five games against top-3 AP-ranked teams has gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Penn State ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (0.9).
- Penn State ranks 2nd among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (4.3).
- Ohio State ranks 1st among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (13.0).
- Ohio State ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (0.9).
Penn State vs Ohio State Prediction
The Ohio State Buckeyes are probably the more talented team and should be favored. Penn State is also 0-8 SU and 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games as an underdog. However, Ohio State has looked shaky in its last two games, blowing the contest against Oregon and nearly getting upset by Nebraska. Penn State is unbeaten on the season, rarely loses at home, and is 30th in scoring offense while having a top-10 defense. This line is disrespectful toward Penn State, and I have to lean toward the points. I’d even sprinkle the Nittany Lions ML.
