Virginia Cavaliers (4-4) vs. Pittsburgh Panthers (7-1)
November 9, 2024 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Pittsburgh Panthers -7.5 / Virginia Cavaliers +7.5; Over/Under: +57.5
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In this article, we will formulate a Pittsburgh vs Virginia prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, November 9th at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 11 matchup.
Pittsburgh Panthers Betting Preview
The Pittsburgh Panthers are 7-1 (3-1) this year after they lost to SMU by a score of 48-25 in their last game. Pittsburgh allowed 34 of the first 37 points in the game and they never had a chance once the second quarter started. The Panthers were outgained by a total of 467-453, lost the turnover battle 2-0, and went 5-16 on third down in the game. Eli Holstein threw for 248 yards and one interception, while Desmond Reid rushed for 49 yards and one score.
Prior to that game, the Panthers had won their first seven games of the season, including wins over West Virginia, Cincinnati, and Syracuse. The Pittsburgh offense has scored 38.9 points per game with 290.8 passing yards and 153.6 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 25.3 points per game this season. Eli Holstein has completed 63.5% of his passes for 2,053 yards, 17 touchdowns, and six interceptions, while Desmond Reid has rushed for 590 yards and four scores.
Virginia Cavaliers Betting Preview
The Virginia Cavaliers are 4-4 (2-3) this season after they lost to North Carolina by a score of 41-14 in their last game. Virginia cut the deficit to 10-6 in the second quarter, but they allowed the next 28 points in the loss. The Cavaliers were outgained by a total of 428-288, lost the turnover battle 2-0, and went 6-16 on third down in the game. Anthony Colandrea threw for 156 yards and two interceptions, while Tony Muskett threw for 125 yards and one touchdown.
Prior to that loss, the Cavaliers lost to Clemson by a score of 48-31 and Louisville by a score of 24-20. The UVA offense has scored 26.3 points per game with 265 passing yards and 140.5 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 27.6 points per game this season. Anthony Colandrea has completed 62.9% of his passes for 1,805 yards, 11 touchdowns, and six interceptions, while Malachi Fields has caught 43 passes for 654 yards and four scores.
Why Pittsburgh will cover
- Virginia has lost 17 of its last 18 road games in November.
- Pittsburgh has won each of its last seven games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Pittsburgh has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games at Acrisure Stadium.
- Virginia has lost the first half in five of its last six games against conference opponents.
Why Virginia will cover
- Pittsburgh has lost four of its last five games in November.
- The road team has won three of the last four games between Virginia and Pittsburgh.
- Virginia has covered the spread in eight of its last nine games as an underdog.
- Pittsburgh has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games in November.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Virginia’s last six road games in November has gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of Pittsburgh’s last four home games against conference opponents has gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Pittsburgh ranks 3rd among FBS teams for average point differential in fourth quarters this season (+7.5).
- Pittsburgh ranks 4th among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (12.1).
- Virginia ranks 131st among FBS teams for average point differential in third quarters this season (-6.5).
- Virginia ranks T128th among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (9.4).
Pittsburgh vs Virginia Prediction
Pittsburgh comes into this matchup after getting blown out by SMU last week, but they only have one loss on the season and are still in the ACC race. The Panthers had played a very easy schedule to start the season, but SMU humbled them very quickly last week. Virginia has dropped three games in a row and they have allowed 89 points in their last two. The Cavaliers had a great start to the season, but they face an uphill battle trying to find two more wins and a bowl game. We have seen Pittsburgh beat up on lesser competition this season and I think their offense is going to have a huge day here. Take the over.
