Oregon Ducks (6-0) vs. Purdue Boilermakers (1-5)
October 18, 2024 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Purdue Boilermakers +27.5 / Oregon Ducks -27.5; Over/Under: +58.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Oregon Ducks and Purdue Boilermakers meet Friday in week 8 college football action at Ross-Ade Stadium. Here’s a Purdue vs Oregon Prediction. This article will include a Purdue vs Oregon Pick.
Oregon Ducks Betting Preview
The Oregon Ducks recently beat Michigan State and Ohio State, and they play Illinois next. Oregon looks for its first 7-0 start since the 2013 season. Dillon Gabriel is completing 76.1 percent of his passes for 1,790 yards, 13 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Tez Johnson and Evan Stewart have combined for 801 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns, while Terrance Ferguson has 20 receptions.
The Oregon Ducks ground game is averaging 162.8 yards per contest, and Jordan James leads the way with 667 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Oregon is allowing 19.3 points and 297.3 yards per game. Bryce Boettcher leads the Oregon Ducks with 33 tackles, Jordan Burch has 5 sacks and Brandon Johnson has 1 interception.
Purdue Boilermakers Betting Preview
The Purdue Boilermakers lost to Illinois and Wisconsin, and they play Northwestern next. The Purdue Boilermakers have lost 6 of their last 10 home games. Hudson Card is completing 63.4 percent of his passes for 738 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Max Klare and Jahmal Edrine have combined for 506 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Jaron Tibbs has 15 receptions.
The Purdue Boilermakers ground game is averaging 156.2 yards per contest, and Devin Mockobee leads the way with 464 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Purdue is allowing 39 points and 454.5 yards per game. Dillon Thieneman leads the Purdue Boilermakers with 50 tackles, Kydran Jenkins has 3.5 sacks and Kyndrich Breedlove has 2 interceptions.
Why the Oregon Ducks will win
- Oregon has won each of its last 26 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Purdue has lost each of its last six games in October.
- Oregon has covered the spread in each of its last five road games in October.
- Purdue has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four home games in October.
- Oregon has won the first quarter in seven of its last nine games against conference opponents.
- Oregon has won the first half in nine of its last 10 games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Six of Purdue’s last seven October games against top-15 AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Four of Oregon’s last five games against conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Purdue ranks 133rd among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (1.2).
- Purdue ranks T133rd among FBS teams for H1 points per game this season (6.2).
- Oregon ranks T8th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (13.3).
- Oregon ranks T14th among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (2.8).
Purdue vs Oregon Prediction
The Purdue Boilermakers are a train wreck on both sides of the ball, especially defensively, so an Oregon beatdown wouldn’t be shocking. However, this is a letdown spot for Oregon after a monster last-second win over Ohio State last week. Also, Oregon is 0-3 ATS this season when favorites of 20 or more points. Purdue has covered 6 straight games when an underdog of 20 or more points, including the game last week against Illinois, which the Boilermakers almost won outright. I’ll take a shot with Purdue and the free touchdowns.
