Penn State Nittany Lions (8-1) vs. Purdue Boilermakers (1-8)
November 16, 2024 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Purdue Boilermakers +28.5 / Penn State Nittany Lions -28.5; Over/Under: +50.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Purdue vs Penn State prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, November 16th at Ross-Ade Stadium in West Lafayette, Indiana. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 12 matchup.
Purdue Boilermakers Betting Preview
The Purdue Boilermakers are 1-8 (0-6) this year after they lost to Ohio State by a score of 45-0 in their last game. Purdue trailed 21-0 at halftime and things didn’t get any better in the second half in the shutout loss. The Boilermakers were outgained by a total of 433-206, lost the turnover battle 2-0, and went 2-12 on third down in the game. Hudson Card threw for 108 yards and one interception, while Devin Mockobee rushed for 73 yards on 13 carries.
Prior to that loss, the Boilermakers lost seven games in a row and they are still looking for their first FBS win of the season. The Purdue offense has scored 18 points per game with 177.1 passing yards and 143.3 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 37.8 points per game this season. Hudson Card has completed 60.1% of his passes for 1,113 yards, eight touchdowns, and five interceptions, while Devin Mockobee has rushed for 612 yards and three scores.
Penn State Nittany Lions Betting Preview
The Penn State Nittany Lions are 8-1 (5-1) this season after they defeated Washington by a score of 35-16 in their last game. Penn State led 28-0 at halftime and they were able to cruise to the easy win. The Nittany Lions outgained Washington by a total of 486-193, tied the turnover battle at one, and went 10-13 on third down in the game. Drew Allar threw for 220 yards and one touchdown, while Kaytron Allen rushed for 98 yards and one score.
Prior to that win, the Nittany Lions lost to Ohio State by a score of 20-13 but did win their first seven games of the season. The Penn State offense has scored 31.2 points per game with 248.4 passing yards and 196.2 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 14 points per game this season. Drew Allar has completed 70.3% of his passes for 2,006 yards, 13 touchdowns, and five interceptions, while Kaytron Allen has rushed for 634 yards and five scores.
Why Penn State will cover
- Penn State has won each of its last 28 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Purdue has lost each of its last eight games.
- Penn State has covered the spread in each of its last 11 November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Purdue has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games.
- Purdue has lost the first half in seven of its last eight games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Nine of Purdue’s last 10 November games as a home underdog have gone OVER the total points line.
- Eight of Penn State’s last nine games against conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Purdue ranks 134th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (1.1).
- Purdue ranks 134th among FBS teams for H1 points per game this season (5.2).
- Penn State ranks 2nd among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (1.3).
- Penn State ranks 3rd among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (4.7).
Purdue vs Penn State Prediction
Penn State comes into this game continuing to dominate everyone in the Big Ten, with the exception of Ohio State and Michigan. The Nittany Lions rolled over Washington at home last week and will pick up another easy win here. Purdue has been one of the worst teams in the Power Four this season and they just lost 45-0 against Ohio State last week. This Penn State team might struggle in big games, but they make it look easy against these lesser teams. Take Penn State here.
