College Football

Rice vs UTSA Prediction 10/11/25 College Football Picks Today

Rice vs UTSA
October 11, 2025 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: UTSA -10 / Over/Under: 47.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Rice vs UTSA Prediction for this College Football Week 7 game on Saturday, October 11th at the Alamodome. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Wyoming Cowboys Preview

The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors have a 4-2 record this season and are sitting on the 7th place of the MWC. They are 4-2 ATS, 2-4 in Over/Under and have a 1-1 away record and 3-1 home record. The Rainbow Warriors are coming off a 44-35 away win against Air Force and are playing Colorado State and San Jose State next.

Offensively, the Rainbow Warriors average 25.7 points per game, which ranks 86th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 23.5 points per game, which is 69th. Hawaii averages 368.8 total yards per game, with 93.3 rushing yards and 275.5 passing yards per game. They allow 315.5 total yards per game, with 127.8 rushing and 187.7 passing yards per game. Micah Alejado leads the Rainbow Warriors with 1043 passing yards and 65.9% completed passes.

Landon Sims leads the team in rushing yards, with 241, and one touchdown, while Pofele Ashlock has a team-high 38 caught passes for 355 receiving yards, and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Peter Manuma has a team-high 33 total tackles, 15 of them solo. Jackie Johnson III leads the Rainbow Warriors in sacks, with 4.5, while Elijah Palmer, Elijah Gipson, Matagi Thompson, and Jamih Otis each have one interception.

San José State Spartans Preview

The San José State Spartans have a 2-3 record this season and are sitting on the sixth place of the Mountain West. They are 3-2 ATS, 3-2 in Over/Under and have a 0-2 away record and 2-1 home record. The Spartans are coming off a 35-28 home win over the New Mexico Lobos and are playing the Utah State Aggies and the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors next.

Offensively, the Spartans average 23.2 points per game, which ranks 102nd of 136. Defensively, they allow 28.0 points per game, which is 98th of 136. San José State averages 416.6 total yards per game, with 112.4 rushing yards and 304.2 passing yards per game. They allow 421.6 total yards per game, with 131.2 rushing and 290.4 passing yards per game.

Walker Eget leads the Spartans with 1521 passing yards and 61.9% completed passes. Jabari Bates leads the team in rushing yards, with 192, while Danny Scudero has a team-high 40 caught passes for 665 receiving yards, and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Jordan Pollard has a team-high 38 total tackles, 16 of them solo. Vili Taufatofua leads the Spartans in sacks, with 2.0, while Jalen Apalit-Williams and Jireh Moe have one interception.

Rice Owls @ UTSA Roadrunners Betting Trends: Week 7

 

Why the UTSA Roadrunners will win

  • UTSA has won each of its last 22 home games against conference opponents.
  • Rice has lost each of its last five games at Alamodome.
  • UTSA has covered the spread in each of its last six home games against conference opponents.
  • Rice has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games at Alamodome.
  • UTSA has won the first quarter in five of its last six games against conference opponents.
  • Rice has lost the first half in five of its last six road games against conference opponents.

Why the Rice Owls will win

  • Rice has won three of its last four games as an underdog in Texas.
  • UTSA has lost three of its last four October games as a favorite.
  • The road team has covered the spread in each of Rice’s last six games.
  • UTSA has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games in October.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of UTSA’s last eight games in Texas have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Nine of Rice’s last 10 games as a road underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.

UTSA Roadrunners Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 7, Robert Henry ranks T2nd amongst FBS players for touchdowns (9) this season.

Rice Owls Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 7, Chase Jenkins leads Rice for touchdowns (4) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • UTSA ranks T135th among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (11.8).
  • UTSA ranks 133rd among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (20.4).
  • Rice ranks 135th among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (93.2).
  • Rice ranks T129th among FBS teams for red zone percentage against this season (100.0).

Rice vs UTSA Prediction

In their previous meeting last season, Rice won 29-27 at home, but UTSA has won their 8 meetings before that. UTSA has won its last 5 home meetings against Rice, and is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings. Under is 6-2 in their last 8 meetings.

In this Rice vs UTSA Prediction, UTSA is coming as -10-home road favorites, with the total set at 47.5 points. Both teams are coming off defeats in their previous games, and both have been involved in some lower-scoring games lately, as they are 4-0 to the under in their last 4 games combined. Most of their recent meetings have been historically low-scoring ones, and are both struggling offensively lately, averaging 19 and 17 points per game in their last two. I expect another low-scoring affair today, so the play here is the under 47.5 points.

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Under 47.5

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