College Football

Sam Houston vs Missouri State Prediction Football Picks Today 10/27/26

Sam Houston State Bearkats (1-6) vs. Missouri State Bears (2-5)
October 27, 2026 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Missouri State Bears -218 / Sam Houston State Bearkats 180; Over/Under: 49.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Sam Houston vs Missouri State Prediction for this College Football Week 9 matchup on Tuesday, October 27th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Missouri State Bears Preview

Missouri State has a 2-5 record and a 1-2 record in the CUSA. They are coming off a 38-61 road loss against Delaware and will face FIU and New Mexico State next.


Offensively, Missouri State averages 24.4 points per game, ranking 98th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 34.9 points per game, which is 130th. Missouri State averages 367.6 total yards per game (240.7 passing and 126.9 rushing), while allowing 434.6 total yards per game (184.4 rushing and 250.1 passing).

Henry Belin IV leads Missouri State with 887 passing yards with 67.6% completed passes and 6 touchdowns. Ramone Green Jr. leads the team in rushing yards with 246, while Isaiah Myers has a team-high 796 receiving yards and 38 receptions. Defensively, Jared Lloyd has a team-high 79 total tackles (35 of them solo), while Joshua Lukusa leads the team with 1.5 sacks.

Sam Houston Bearkats Preview

Sam Houston has a 1-6 record and a 0-3 record in the CUSA. They are coming off a 24-30 home loss against New Mexico State and will face Jacksonville State and Kennesaw State next.

Offensively, Sam Houston averages 20.1 points per game, ranking 123rd in the nation, while defensively, they allow 25.3 points per game, which is 81st. Sam Houston averages 328.3 total yards per game (245.3 passing and 83 rushing), while allowing 341.7 total yards per game (200.7 rushing and 141 passing).

Landyn Locke leads Sam Houston with 1,653 passing yards with 62.3% completed passes and 12 touchdowns. Alton McCaskill leads the team in rushing yards with 220, while Tim Burns Jr. has a team-high 329 receiving yards and 15 receptions. Defensively, Dean Ford has a team-high 44 total tackles (24 of them solo), while Elijah Groves leads the team with 2.5 sacks.

Sam Houston State Bearkats @ Missouri State Bears Betting Trends: Week 9

 

Missouri State Bears Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 9, Isaiah Myers ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Yards Per Reception (20.9) this season.

Sam Houston State Bearkats Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 9, Landyn Locke has recorded the longest passing touchdown in a single game this season (94 yards vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane, Week 2).

Matchup/League Facts

  • Missouri State ranks 137th among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (9.9).
  • Missouri State ranks 137th among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (20.3).
  • Sam Houston State ranks 138th among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (3.0).
  • Sam Houston State ranks 138th among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (83.0).

Sam Houston vs Missouri State Prediction

In this Sam Houston vs Missouri State prediction, Missouri State is coming as -6.5 home favorites. Both teams have been terrible this season, with just two and one wins in seven games played, but Missouri State’s both wins have been at home. Sam Houston has failed to cover the spread in its last four games and has scored 20 points combined in three of its last four games. Missouri State has a terrible defense, but they will be facing an ice-cold offense, so I expect them to get the job done at home and cover the point spread.

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Missouri State -6.5

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