Sam Houston vs Texas Tech Prediction Football Picks Today 9/26/26

In this article, we will formulate a Sam Houston vs Texas Tech Prediction for this College Football Week 4 matchup on Saturday, September 26^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Texas Tech Red Raiders Preview

Texas Tech has a 3-0 record and are coming off a 28-26 home win against Houston. They will face Colorado and Arizona State next. Offensively, Texas Tech averages 32 points per game, ranking 68th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 20 points per game, which is 59th. Texas Tech averages 416 total yards per game (250.7 passing and 165.3 rushing), while allowing 374.7 total yards per game (101.7 rushing and 273 passing).

Will Hammond leads Texas Tech with 744 passing yards with 72.4% completed passes and 3 touchdowns. J’Koby Williams leads the team in rushing yards with 249, while Kenny Johnson has a team-high 13 receptions for 230 receiving yards. Defensively, Ben Roberts has a team-high 25 total tackles (14 of them solo), while Jamond Mathis and Anthony Holmes Jr. lead the team with 2.5 sacks each.

Sam Houston Bearkats Preview

Sam Houston has a 1-2 record and are coming off a 59-0 home win against Nicholls. They will face Liberty and Western Kentucky next. Offensively, Sam Houston averages 32.3 points per game, ranking 64th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 15.7 points per game, which is 30th. Sam Houston averages 454.3 total yards per game (345.7 passing and 108.7 rushing), while allowing 290.7 total yards per game (180.7 rushing and 110 passing).

Landyn Locke leads Sam Houston with 973 passing yards with 67.6% completed passes and 9 touchdowns. Alton McCaskill leads the team in rushing yards with 140, while Chris Reed has a team-high 9 receptions for 204 receiving yards. Defensively, Dean Ford has a team-high 16 total tackles (10 of them solo), while Elijah Groves leads the team with 2.5 sacks.

Sam Houston State Bearkats @ Texas Tech Red Raiders Betting Trends: Week 4

Why the Texas Tech Red Raiders will win

• Texas Tech has won each of its last 15 September home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Sam Houston State has lost eight of its last nine road games.
• Texas Tech has covered the spread in seven of its last eight home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Sam Houston State has failed to cover the spread in nine of its last 11 road games.
• Texas Tech has won the first half in each of its last eight home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Texas Tech has won the first quarter in each of its last eight home games against non-AP-ranked teams.

Why the Sam Houston State Bearkats will win

• Texas Tech has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games.
• Sam Houston State has covered the spread in each of its last four games against non-conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Sam Houston State’s last four games against teams from Texas have gone OVER the total points line.
• Six of Texas Tech’s last seven home games against teams from Texas have gone OVER the total points line.

Texas Tech Red Raiders Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 4, J’Koby Williams ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.

Sam Houston State Bearkats Player Prop Facts

• Landyn Locke has recorded 300+ passing yards in three consecutive games – equal-longest streak in the FBS, heading into Week 4.

Matchup/League Facts

• Texas Tech ranks T1st among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (100.0).
• Texas Tech ranks 126th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (273.0).
• Two of Sam Houston State’s three games this season have been decided by a margin of seven points or less – equal-most amongst FBS teams.
• Sam Houston State ranks 4th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (110.0).

Sam Houston vs Texas Tech Prediction

In this Sam Houston vs Texas Tech Prediction, Texas Tech is coming as -35.5 home favorites. Texas Tech has been undefeated this season but have failed to cover the spread in all three wins and have conceded 50 total goals in their last two games. On the flip side, Sam Houston is a perfect 3-0 ATS this season, have almost identical numbers offensively and have a better defense. Texas Tech is the better team and will most likely win this game, but 35.5 points are too many. Take Sam Houston and get the +35.5 points in this one.