San Diego State vs Hawaii Prediction 11/8/25 College Football Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a San Diego State vs Hawaii Prediction for this College Football Week 11 game on Saturday, November 8^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Preview

Hawaii has a 6-3 record this season and is sitting 3rd in the MWC. They are 6-3 ATS, 4-5 in Over/Under and have a 4-1 home record and a 2-2 away record. Hawaii is coming off a 38-45 road loss against San Jose State and will face Nevada-Las Vegas and Wyoming next.

Offensively, Hawaii averages 29.7 points per game, ranking 60th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 25.7 points per game, which is 81st. Hawaii averages 410.0 total yards per game (307.6 passing and 102.4 rushing), while allowing 357.7 total yards per game (132.2 rushing and 225.4 passing).

Micah Alejado leads Hawaii with 2,124 passing yards with 65.9% completed passes and 15 touchdowns. Landon Sims leads the team in rushing yards with 439, while Pofele Ashlock has a team-high 55 receptions for 598 receiving yards. Defensively, Jamih Otis has a team-high 49 total tackles (24 of them solo), while Jackie Johnson III leads the team in sacks, with 6.0. Elijah Palmer, Kilnahe Mendiola-Jensen, Giovanni Iovino and Matagi Thompson have one interception each.

San Diego State Aztecs Preview

San Diego State has a 7-1 record this season and is sitting 2nd in the MWC. They are 7-1 ATS, 3-5 in Over/Under and have a 4-0 home record and a 3-1 away record. San Diego State is coming off a 24-7 home win against Wyoming and will face Boise State, San Jose State and New Mexico next.

Offensively, San Diego State averages 28.9 points per game, ranking 67th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 10.0 points per game, which is 2nd. San Diego State averages 367.1 total yards per game (181.5 passing and 185.6 rushing), while allowing 246.3 total yards per game (88.5 rushing and 157.8 passing).

Jayden Denegal leads San Diego State with 1,415 passing yards with 63.3% completed passes and 8 touchdowns. Lucky Sutton leads the team in rushing yards with 820, while Jordan Napier has a team-high 45 receptions for 610 receiving yards. Defensively, Owen Chambliss has a team-high 72 total tackles (41 of them solo), while Trey White leads the team in sacks, with 6.0, and Chris Johnson has a team-high 3 interceptions.

San Diego State Aztecs @ Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Betting Trends: Week 11

Why the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors will win

• Hawaii has won four of its last five November games as a home underdog.
• San Diego State has lost each of its last five road games in November.
• Hawaii has covered the spread in each of its last seven home games in November.
• San Diego State has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five November games as a road favorite.
• Hawaii has won the first half in five of its last six games against conference opponents.

Why the San Diego State Aztecs will win

• San Diego State has won each of its last nine games as a road favorite.
• Hawaii has lost each of its last six games as a home underdog against teams from California.
• San Diego State has covered the spread in each of its last six games.
• San Diego State has won the first quarter in each of its last three road games against conference opponents.
• San Diego State has won the first half in each of its last four games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Nine of San Diego State’s last 10 November games as a road favorite have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of Hawaii’s last four home games against teams from California have gone UNDER the total points line.

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Player Prop Facts

• Jackson Harris has recorded 100+ receiving yards in four consecutive games – longest streak in the FBS, heading into Week 11.

San Diego State Aztecs Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 11, Hunter Green ranks 8th amongst qualified players for gross average yards per punt (47.5) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Hawaii is one of only three FBS teams with 100% success rate on field goals and extra points this season.
• Hawaii is one of only four FBS teams with 100% success rate on field goals this season.
• San Diego State ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (1.3).
• San Diego State ranks 2nd among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (10.0).

San Diego State vs Hawaii Prediction

In this San Diego State vs Hawaii Prediction, San Diego State is coming as -7-point road favorites, with the total set at 50.5 points. San Diego State has been almost perfect this season, having lost only once in their 8 games played and are 3-1 on the road and a strong 7-1 ATS. Hawaii has been playing good ball this season and are coming off a loss that ended their three-game winning streak, but they are going up against San Diego State’s second-best defense in the country which will be too much for them to handle even at home. Take San Diego State and lay the -7 points on the road.