College Football

San Diego State vs New Mexico 10/9/21 College Football Picks, Predictions, Odds

New Mexico Lobos (2-3) vs. San Diego State Aztecs (4-0)
October 9, 2021 9:00 pm EDT
The Line: San Diego State Aztecs -19 / New Mexico Lobos +19; Over/Under: 44.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The San Diego State Aztecs meet the New Mexico Lobos and Saturday in MWC week 6 college football action at Dignity Health Sports Park. The New Mexico Lobos need a win here to snap a three-game losing streak. The San Diego State Aztecs look for their first 5-0 start since the 2017 CFB season.

The New Mexico Lobos haven’t won a road game since October of 2018. Terry Wilson is completing 59.1 percent of his passes for 931 yards, seven touchdowns and three interceptions. Luke Wysong and Emmanuel Logan-Greene have combined for 287 receiving yards and one touchdown while Andrew Erickson has nine receptions. The New Mexico Lobos ground game is averaging 113.2 yards per contest, and Aaron Dumas leads the way with 207 yards on 46 carries. Defensively, New Mexico is allowing 26.8 points and 349.2 yards per game. Jerrick Reed II leads the New Mexico Lobos with 42 tackles, Joey Noble has three sacks and Tavian Combs has one interception.


The San Diego State Aztecs have won five straight home games. Jordon Brookshire is completing 48.5 percent of his passes for 259 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Daniel Bellinger and Brionne Penny have combined for 193 receiving yards and one touchdown while Ethan Dedeaux has three receptions. The San Diego State Aztecs ground game is averaging 251 yards per contest, and Greg Bell leads the way with 409 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, San Diego State is allowing 19 points and 289.8 yards per game. Patrick McMorris leads the San Diego State Aztecs with 24 tackles, Garret Fountain has three sacks and Tayler Hawkins has two interceptions. 

The Lobos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Aztecs are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The under is 8-3 in Lobos last 11 road games. The under is 35-16-2 in Aztecs last 53 games overall. The Lobos are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings in San Diego State and 12-3 ATS in their last 15 meetings.

The New Mexico Lobos haven’t won a road game in three years, and they’re just god awful offensively this season. New Mexico has scored a combined 23 points in its last three games and is ranked 122nd in total offense and 124th in scoring offense. The San Diego State Aztecs are a balanced, physical team that’s second best in the country at stopping the run and ninth in rushing offense. San Diego State controls the trenches and bullies teams not willing to match its toughness. This game could get ugly for the Lobos. Give me San Diego State in a home beatdown.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: San Diego State Aztecs -19

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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