SEC: Texas A&M vs Arkansas 9/24/22 College Football Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Texas A&M Aggies and Arkansas Razorbacks clash Saturday in a week 4 SEC conference college football matchup from AT&T Stadium.

The Arkansas Razorbacks will look to build on their 3-0 start to the year after a 38-27 win over Missouri State last time out. KJ Jefferson’s thrown for 770 yards, 6 touchdowns and an interception on 70.5% passing while also rushing for 169 yards and 3 TDs. Raheim Sanders leads Arkansas’ ground attack with 440 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns on the ground while Matt Landers leads the Razorbacks’ receiving group with 14 catches for 211 yards. Sanders, Jadon Haselwood and Trey Knox each have 100+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Bumper Pool leads the Razorbacks with 29 total tackles while Drew Sanders has 28 total tackles with a team-high 16 solo tackles and 5.5 sacks. Simeon Blair has 14 solo tackles and Jordan Domineck has 4 sacks and Dwight McGlothern has a pair of interceptions this season.

The Texas A&M Aggies will try to build on their marquee 17-9 win over Miami last time out. Max Johnson’s thrown for 163 yards and a touchdown on 54.2% passing while Devon Achane has rushed for a team-high 196 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns. Ainias Smith leads Texas A&M’s receiving group with 14 grabs for 259 yards and a pair of touchdowns while Evan Stewart has 105 receiving yards. On defense, Antonio Johnson leads the Aggies with 25 total tackles while Jardin Gilbert has an interception and A&M’s defense has 4 sacks as a unit this season.

Arkansas is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games and 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 conference games while the under is 4-0 in their last 4 neutral site games. Texas A&M is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against a team with a winning record and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games while the over is 6-2 in their last 8 games against a team with a winning record.

I get why Texas A&M would be a good look here after their win at home over Miami last time out. However, the Aggies still didn’t look great offensively in that game despite the QB change to Max Johnson. I think Arkansas’ close call against Missouri State is being blown out of proportion as it was clearly a look-ahead spot for the Hogs coming into this game. If this game was at College Station, I’d have an easier time considering Texas A&M, but on a neutral field, I think Arkansas brings the better offense to the table here and I think Arkansas likely wins this game but I’ll take the points to be safe.