Memphis Tigers (6-5) vs. SMU Mustangs (6-5)
November 26, 2022 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: SMU Mustangs -4.5 / Memphis Tigers +4.5; Over/Under: +69.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Memphis Tigers and the SMU Mustangs meet in college football action from Gerald J. Ford Stadium on Saturday afternoon.
The Memphis Tigers will be out to build on a 59-0 win over North Alabama last time out. Seth Henigan has thrown for 3,000 yards, 18 touchdowns and 7 interceptions on 64.1% passing while Jeyvon Ducker has a team-high 380 rushing yards with 5 touchdowns and Asa Martin has 356 rushing yards with 6 scores. Brandon Thomas has 270 rushing yards with a team-high 9 scores this season. Caden Prieskorn has a team-high 42 grabs for 548 receiving yards while Eddie Lewis has 524 receiving yards and Javon Ivory has 488 receiving yards this season. Gabriel Rogers and Joseph Scates each have 350+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Xavier Cullens has a team-high 92 total tackles and 3 interceptions while Quindell Johnson has a team-high 4 interceptions. Cormontae Hamilton also has a team-high 4.5 sacks this season. As a unit, Memphis’ defense has 17 sacks and 13 interceptions this season.
The SMU Mustangs will look to rebound from a 59-24 loss to Tulane in their last game. Tanner Mordecai has thrown for 3,078 yards, 29 touchdowns and 9 interceptions on 63.6% passing. Tyler Lavine has a team-high 487 rushing yards with 7 touchdowns while Velton Gardner has 364 rushing yards and Camar Wheaton and Tre Siggers each have 200+ rushing yards and a combined 6 touchdowns this season. Rashee Rice leads SMU in receiving with 83 grabs for 1,208 yards and 9 touchdowns while Jordan Kerley has 25 grabs for 462 yards and 4 scores. Four more Mustangs have at least 200 receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Jimmy Phillips Jr. has a team-high 65 total tackles while Nelson Paul has a team-high 5 sacks and Nick Roberts has a team-high 3 interceptions this season.
Memphis is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against a team with a winning record and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS win while the over is 4-0 in their last 4 road games. SMU is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games against a team with a winning road record while the over is 5-1 in their last 6 games on turf.
I get why you could make a case for either side here, but whatever side you’re on, I don’t know how you don’t look at the over here. These are two teams that are giving up well into the 30s most times they take the field, and while this is still a line near ten touchdowns, I think this one could end up as one of those 45-38 kinds of games. Give me the over here.