SMU vs Miami (FL) Prediction Football Picks Today 11/1/25

The Miami Hurricanes and the SMU Mustangs meet in week 10 college football action from Gerald J. Ford Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Miami Hurricanes vs. SMU Mustangs prediction.

Miami Hurricanes Recap

The Miami Hurricanes come into this game looking to build on their 42-7 win over Stanford last time out to sit at 6-1 this season. After this game, Miami will head home for a game against Syracuse.

Hurricanes Looking To Build Momentum

Carson Beck has thrown for 1,673 yards, 12 touchdowns and 7 interceptions on 73.3% passing while Mark Fletcher Jr. has 552 rushing yards and 9 touchdowns on the ground so far this season. CharMar Brown also has 243 rushing yards with 4 scores while Malachi Toney has 43 receptions for 562 yards and 3 touchdowns to lead Miami’s receivers. CJ Daniels has 33 receptions for 351 yards and 6 touchdowns and four more Hurricanes have 100+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Keionte Scott has a team-high 34 total tackles while Akheem Mesidor has a team-high 3.5 sacks and Bryce Fitzgerald has a team-high 3 interceptions so far this season. As a unit, Miami’s defense has combined for 15 sacks and 7 interceptions so far this season. 

Why the Miami Hurricanes will win

• SMU has lost each of its last five games against top-15 AP-ranked teams.
• Miami (FL) has won six of its last seven games.
• SMU has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight November games as an underdog.
• Miami (FL) has covered the spread in four of its last five games.

SMU Mustangs Recap

The SMU Mustangs come into this game looking to rebound on their 13-12 loss at the hands of Wake Forest last time out to sit at 5-3 this season. After this game, SMU will head on the road for a game against Boston College.

Mustangs Have Three-Game Win Streak Snapped

Kevin Jennings has thrown for 2,119 yards, 17 touchdowns and 8 interceptions on 66.3% passing while T.J. Harden leads SMU in rushing with 456 yards and 5 touchdowns. Chris Johnson Jr. also has 314 rushing yards and 3 TDs on the ground while Romello Brinson has a team-high 37 catches for 515 yards and 3 TDs to lead SMU’s receivers. Jordan Hudson has 26 catches for 355 yards and 3 TDs while Jalen Cooper has 271 receiving yards and Yamir Knight’s added 251 receiving yards. Three more Mustangs have 100+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Isaiah Nwokobia leads the Mustangs with 65 total tackles including 34 solo tackles while Terry Webb has a team-high 5.5 sacks this season. Cameron Robertson and Jeffrey M’Ba has 5 sacks this season. As a unit, SMU’s defense has combined for 25 sacks and 12 interceptions so far this season.

Why the SMU Mustangs will win

• SMU has won each of its last 12 games against conference opponents at Gerald J. Ford Stadium.
• Miami (FL) has lost three of its last four November games as a road favorite.
• SMU has covered the spread in four of its last five games against AP-ranked teams at Gerald J. Ford Stadium.
• Miami (FL) has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last nine November games as a road favorite.

Total Points Facts

• Each of SMU’s last six games against top-15 AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Three of Miami (FL)’s last four games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Miami Hurricanes vs. SMU Mustangs Prediction

I’m on SMU and the points here. I think SMU is playing for pride here as they won’t be going back to the college football playoffs, but they can also get bowl eligibility with a win here. I think this game could be closer to what we saw from Miami against Louisville a couple of weeks ago, as SMU may not be the same team from last year, but they’re still a quality option and have enough to keep this game respectable. Give me SMU and the points.