Southern Miss vs Louisiana Prediction 10-5-24 College Football Picks
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (3-1) vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (1-3)
October 5, 2024 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Southern Miss Golden Eagles +13.5 / Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns -13.5; Over/Under: -
(Get latest betting odds)
The Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns and the Southern Miss Golden Eagles will meet Saturday in college football action from Roberts Stadium. Here’s a Southern Miss vs Louisiana prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Southern Miss vs Louisiana pick.
Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns Betting Preview
The Cajuns started things out well this year with a pair of wins. First was a 40-10 blowout versus Grambling State, then a 34-10 win over Kennesaw State. On September 21, the Cajuns took their first loss 41-33 versus Tulane.
Last weekend versus Wake Forest, the Cajuns scored double-digit points in three of four quarters and powered out a tight win 41-38. Ben Woolridge finished with 257 yards and three scores, while Elijah Davis had 13 carries for 95 yards and a TD rushing.
Southern Miss Golden Eagles Betting Preview
Over on the Eagles’ side, they had a tough matchup versus Kentucky in their opener and fell 31-0. Southern Miss got their first win the next week 35-10 over Southeastern LA, but then fell again versus South Florida 49-24.
The Golden Eagles dropped another one in their last appearance on September 21. Southern Miss was down 21-7 by the break and limped to a 44-7 loss. QB John White logged 117 yards and two picks. Leading the rush was Kenyon Clay with 49 yards on 10 carries.
Why the Southern Miss Golden Eagles will win
- Louisiana has lost five of its last seven games as a road favorite.
- The home team has won three of Southern Miss’ last four games.
- Louisiana has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four October games as a road favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Southern Miss has covered the spread in three of its last four games against conference opponents.
Why the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns will win
- Louisiana has won seven of its last eight road games in October.
- Southern Miss has lost 12 of its last 13 games as an underdog.
- The favorite has covered the spread in seven of Southern Miss’ last eight games at M. M. Roberts Stadium.
- Southern Miss has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five games as a home underdog.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of Southern Miss’ last eight completed games as an underdog have gone OVER the total points line.
- Nine of Louisiana’s last 11 October games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Southern Miss vs Louisiana Prediction
I’m staying with Louisiana. The Cajuns played a wild game versus Wake Forest over the weekend and to their credit powered out a gutsy win. Louisiana got 466 total yards from the offense (257 passing) with zero turnovers and 24 first downs but did have eight penalties for 83 yards. It was a nice bounce-back effort after the Tulane loss.
As for Southern Miss, they looked pretty rough in their last outing. The Eagles notched 246 yards (132 passing), 16 first downs, six turnovers, and 1-of-10 on third-down tries in the loss to Jacksonville State. I don’t think Southern Miss will rebound well enough to cover in this one.