Southern Mississippi vs Arkansas State Prediction 11/8/25 College Football Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Southern Mississippi vs Arkansas State Prediction for this College Football Week 11 game on Saturday, November 8^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Arkansas State Red Wolves Preview

Arkansas State has a 5-4 record this season and is sitting 3rd in the Sun Belt. They are 6-3 ATS, 2-7 in Over/Under and have a 3-1 home record and a 2-3 away record. Arkansas State is coming off a 23-10 road win against Troy and will face Louisiana and Appalachian State next.

Offensively, Arkansas State averages 23.6 points per game, ranking 98th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 26.4 points per game, which is 85th. Arkansas State averages 368.7 total yards per game (236.7 passing and 132.0 rushing), while allowing 405.2 total yards per game (176.2 rushing and 229.0 passing).

Jaylen Raynor leads Arkansas State with 2,123 passing yards with 66.9% completed passes and 11 touchdowns. Kenyon Clay leads the team in rushing yards with 386, while Chauncy Cobb has a team-high 56 receptions for 608 receiving yards. Defensively, Aaron Alexander has a team-high 56 total tackles (22 of them solo), while Demarcus Hendricks leads the team in sacks, with 5.0, and Avante Dickerson has a team-high 2 interceptions.

Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles Preview

Southern Mississippi has a 6-2 record this season and is sitting 1st in the Sun Belt. They are 5-2 ATS, 5-3 in Over/Under and have a 4-1 home record and a 2-1 away record. Southern Mississippi is coming off a 49-21 home win against Louisiana-Monroe and will face Texas State, South Alabama and Troy next.

Offensively, Southern Mississippi averages 33.0 points per game, ranking 41st in the nation, while defensively, they allow 24.6 points per game, which is 71st. Southern Mississippi averages 397.6 total yards per game (246.1 passing and 151.5 rushing), while allowing 381.1 total yards per game (168.4 rushing and 212.8 passing).

Braylon Braxton leads Southern Mississippi with 1,959 passing yards with 67.1% completed passes and 18 touchdowns. Jeffery Pittman leads the team in rushing yards with 419, while Carl Chester has a team-high 19 receptions for 283 receiving yards. Defensively, Chris Jones has a team-high 79 total tackles (27 of them solo), while J’Mond Tapp leads the team in sacks, with 4.0, and Ian Foster has a team-high 2 interceptions.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles @ Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Trends: Week 11

Why the Arkansas State Red Wolves will win

• Arkansas State has won each of its last four games as an underdog.
• Southern Miss has lost each of its last six games in November.
• Arkansas State has covered the spread in each of its last four games.
• Southern Miss has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five road games.

Why the Southern Miss Golden Eagles will win

• The favorite has won 21 of Southern Miss’ last 22 games.
• Southern Miss has covered the spread in six of its last seven games as a favorite.
• Southern Miss has won the first half in each of its last four games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Arkansas State’s last seven games have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of Southern Miss’ last four road games in November have gone OVER the total points line.

Arkansas State Red Wolves Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 11, Chauncy Cobb has the most receptions without a receiving touchdown this season (56).

Southern Miss Golden Eagles Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 11, Braylon Braxton has recorded the equal-longest passing touchdown in a single game this season (98 yards vs Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns, Week 8).

Matchup/League Facts

• Arkansas State ranks 134th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (10.3).
• Arkansas State ranks T125th among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (3.3).
• Southern Miss ranks T2nd among FBS teams for interceptions this season (15).
• Southern Miss ranks 8th among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (3.8).

Southern Mississippi vs Arkansas State Prediction

In their previous meeting last season, Arkansas State won 44-28 on the road. In this Southern Mississippi vs Southern Mississippi Prediction, Texas State is coming as -4.5-point road favorites, with the total set at 56.5 points. Both teams are coming into this matchup red-hot, having won their last four games each. Southern Miss’s offense has been red-hot lately, with 38+ points in three of their last four games and both teams combined for a total of 72 points when they faced each other last season. Take the over 56.5 points in this one.