Southern Mississippi vs Arkansas State Prediction Football Picks Today 10/17/26

The Arkansas State Red Wolves and the Southern Miss Golden Eagles meet in week 7 college football action from Renasent Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles Prediction.

Arkansas State Red Wolves Recap

The Arkansas State Red Wolves come into this game looking to bounce back from a 56-49 loss at the hands of South Alabama last time out to sit at 2-4 this season. After this game, Arkansas State will head home for a game against Georgia State.

Red Wolves Drop Back-To-Back Games

Trey Owens has thrown for 1,461 yards, 9 touchdowns and 6 interceptions on 68.8% passing while Solomon Baggett leads Arkansas State in rushing with 239 yards and 2 touchdowns through 5 games this season. Trey Owens sits behind Baggett on the ground with 149 yards and 2 touchdowns. Hunter Summers leads the Red Wolves in receiving with 408 yards and 29 catches along with 3 touchdowns, while Chauncy Cobb trails with 307 yards and 27 catches along with a touchdown. On defense, Joe Drew has a team-high 59 tackles while Arkansas State’s defense as a whole has combined for 3 sacks and 5 interceptions through 5 games this season.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles Recap

The Southern Miss Golden Eagles come into this game looking to bounce back from their 55-34 loss at the hands of Troy last time out to sit at 1-4 this season. After this game, Southern Miss will take on Louisiana at home.

Golden Eagles Lose 4 Straight

Landry Lyddy has thrown for 824 yards, 6 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 63.3% passing while Steven Robinson leads Southern Miss in rushing with 348 yards and 4 touchdowns through 5 games this season. Jamarice Wilder sits behind Robinson on the ground with 209 yards and 3 touchdowns. Mario Sanders leads the Golden Eagles in receiving with 404 yards and 28 catches along with 5 touchdowns, while AJ Little trails with 251 yards and 16 catches along with a touchdown. On defense, Mathis Haygood has a team-high 43 tackles while Southern Miss’s defense as a whole has combined for 11 sacks and 7 interceptions through 5 games this season.

Arkansas State Red Wolves @ Southern Miss Golden Eagles Betting Trends: Week 7

Why the Southern Miss Golden Eagles will win

• Arkansas State has lost three of its last four October games as a road favorite.
• The home team has won four of Southern Miss’ last five games.
• The underdog has covered the spread in each of Arkansas State’s last three games.
• Arkansas State has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games.
• Arkansas State has lost the first half in four of its last five October games as a road favorite.

Why the Arkansas State Red Wolves will win

• Southern Miss has lost 19 of its last 20 games as an underdog.
• Arkansas State has won three of its last four road games against conference opponents.
• Southern Miss has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five games against conference opponents.
• Arkansas State has covered the spread in each of its last four road games against conference opponents.
• The favorite has won the first quarter in each of Southern Miss’ last six games.
• Southern Miss has lost the first half in 12 of its last 13 games as an underdog in Mississippi.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of Arkansas State’s last eight October games as a favorite have gone OVER the total points line.
• Six of Southern Miss’ last eight games at Carlisle-Faulkner Field at Renasant Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 7, Ja’Kobi Albert ranks T4th amongst FBS players for interceptions (3) this season.

Arkansas State Red Wolves Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 7, Hunter Summers leads Arkansas State for receptions (29) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Southern Miss ranks 138th among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game this season (275.6).
• Southern Miss ranks 138th among FBS teams for average point differential in first quarters this season (-9.6).
• Arkansas State ranks 133rd among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game this season (213.7).
• Arkansas State ranks T132nd among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (1.7).

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles Prediction

I’m on Arkansas State in this one. Southern Miss hung up some points against Troy’s defense, but the leaky Southern Miss defense continues to be a problem and I don’t think the Golden Eagles will be able to match score for score with Arkansas State here. The Red Wolves have a much more consistent offense and while A-State’s defense is problematic as well, I think that the Red Wolves do enough for the win and cover on the road here.