Florida State Seminoles (3-3) vs. Stanford Cardinal (2-4)
October 18, 2025 10:30 pm EDT
The Line: Stanford Cardinal 17.5 / Florida State Seminoles -17.5; Over/Under: 52.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Florida State Seminoles and Stanford Cardinal meet Saturday in college football action at Boone Pickens Stadium. Here’s a Stanford vs Florida State Prediction. This article will include a Stanford vs Florida State Pick.
Florida State Seminoles Betting Preview
The Florida State Seminoles lost to Miami and Pitt, and they play Wake Forest next. Florida State has lost 3 straight games. Tommy Castellanos is completing 62.3 percent of his passes for 1,365 yards, 9 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. Duce Robinson and Michai Danzy have combined for 773 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Lawayne McCoy has 8 receptions.
The Florida State Seminoles ground game is averaging 274.5 yards per contest, and Gavin Sawchuk leads the way with 352 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Florida State is allowing 23 points and 333 yards per game. Earl Little Jr. leads the Florida State Seminoles with 40 tackles, Ashlynd Barker has 2.5 sacks and Jerry Wilson has 2 interceptions.
Stanford Cardinal Betting Preview
The Stanford Cardinal lost to SMU, beat San Jose State, and they play Miami next. Stanford has lost 12 of its last 15 games. Ben Gulbranson is completing 59.2 percent of his passes for 1,445 yards, 6 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Bryce Farrell and CJ Williams have combined for 793 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Sam Roush has 18 receptions.
The Stanford Cardinal ground game is averaging 92.7 yards per contest, and Micah Ford leads the way with 400 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Stanford is allowing 30.2 points and 418.3 yards per game. Matt Rose leads the Stanford Cardinal with 47 tackles, Clay Patterson has 3 sacks and Collin Wright has 1 interception.
Why the Stanford Cardinal will win
- The home team has won each of Stanford’s last 10 games.
- Florida State has lost each of its last eight games against conference opponents.
- Florida State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games against conference opponents.
- The home team has covered the spread in six of Stanford’s last seven games.
- Florida State has lost the first half in six of its last eight games against conference opponents.
Why the Florida State Seminoles will win
- Stanford has lost each of its last seven games in October.
- Florida State has won eight of its last nine October games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Stanford has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five games in October.
- Florida State has covered the spread in three of its last four road games in October.
- Stanford has lost the first half in eight of its last nine home games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of Florida State’s last eight October games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
- Five of Stanford’s last six home games in October have gone UNDER the total points line.
Stanford Cardinal Player Prop Facts
- C.J. Williams has recorded 7+ receptions in three consecutive games – equal-longest streak in the FBS, heading into Week 8.
Florida State Seminoles Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 8, Micahi Danzy leads the Atlantic Coast Conference for yards per reception (20.6) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Stanford has suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of 20+ points of any FBS team this season (3).
- Stanford ranks 134th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (303.7).
- Florida State has recorded the largest margin of victory of any FBS team this season (74-points vs East Texas A&M on September 6, 2025).
- Florida State has recorded the largest margin of victory in a home game this season (74-points vs East Texas A&M on September 6, 2025).
Stanford vs Florida State Prediction
As I’ve said before, Stanford has lost its way since David Shaw left, as it can’t do anything offensively, especially run the ball, and the defense is no longer physical. If anything else, Stanford used to be tough in the trenches, and that’s no longer the case. However, that doesn’t mean we just throw Florida State all of these points. Didn’t you earn your lesson last week, something I also said against Pitt? Florida State lost that game, by the way.
Outside of a win over Alabama, Florida State hasn’t done anything this season and the defense is getting worse. This line is showing FSU too much respect, and I’m not buying it. We’re getting a hook on top of a key number. Give me Stanford and the points.
