Louisville Cardinals (6-3) vs. Stanford Cardinal (2-7)
November 16, 2024 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Stanford Cardinal +20.5 / Louisville Cardinals -20.5; Over/Under: +57.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Stanford vs Louisville prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, November 16th at Stanford Stadium in Stanford, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 12 matchup.
Stanford Cardinal Betting Preview
The Stanford Cardinal are 2-7 (1-5) this year after they lost to NC State by a score of 59-28 in their last game. Stanford trailed 31-14 at halftime, but they cut the deficit to 31-21 in the third quarter, before NC State pulled away. The Cardinal were outgained by a total of 527-398, lost the turnover battle 2-1, and went 3-9 on third down in the game. Justin Lamson threw for 103 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while Ashton Daniels rushed for 129 yards and two scores in the game.
Prior to that loss, the Cardinal lost five games in a row and allowed at least 31 points in four of them. The Stanford offense has scored 20.4 points per game with 175.4 passing yards and 140.4 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 34.6 points per game this season. Ashton Daniels has completed 62.8% of his passes for 1,011 yards, six touchdowns, and eight interceptions, while also rushing for 481 yards and two scores this year.
Louisville Cardinals Betting Preview
The Louisville Cardinals are 6-3 (4-2) this season after they defeated Clemson by a score of 33-21 in their last game. Louisville led 17-7 at halftime and they scored the first nine points in the second half to pull away for the win. The Cardinals were outgained by a total of 450-366, tied the turnover battle at zero, and went 5-6 on third down in the game. Tyler Shough threw for 156 yards, while Isaac Brown rushed for 151 yards and one score in the win.
Prior to that game, the Cardinals beat Boston College by a score of 31-27 but did lose to Miami by a score of 52-45 before that. The Louisville offense has scored 35.6 points per game with 286.4 passing yards and 163.1 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 24.2 points per game this season. Tyler Shough has completed 63.2% of his passes for 2,504 yards, 20 touchdowns, and five interceptions, while Isaac Brown has rushed for 800 yards and seven scores.
Why Louisville will cover
- Stanford has lost each of its last 16 games against AP-ranked teams.
- The favorite has won each of Stanford’s last 11 games at Stanford Stadium.
- Stanford has failed to cover the spread in each of its last 10 home games in November.
- Louisville has covered the spread in five of its last six November games as a road favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Stanford has lost the first half in each of its last seven home games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Ten of Stanford’s last 11 home games in November have gone OVER the total points line.
- Eight of Louisville’s last 10 games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Stanford ranks 128th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (8.9).
- Stanford ranks 127th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (268.1).
- Louisville ranks T7th among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (18.7).
- Louisville ranks T128th among FBS teams for interceptions this season (2).
Stanford vs Louisville Prediction
Louisville comes into this matchup after having their bye last week, but they have won two games in a row, including a win on the road against Clemson. Stanford has lost six games in a row and their defense has been awful, as they have allowed at least 40 points in three of their last four games. These two teams are trending in opposite directions, but Louisville does have to deal with a cross-country flight and big-time change. We have seen this Stanford team lose by at least 21 points in five of their last six games, so I refuse to back them here. Take Louisville on the road.
