Alabama Crimson Tide (5-1) vs. Tennessee Volunteers (5-1)
October 17, 2026 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Tennessee Volunteers 7.5 / Alabama Crimson Tide -7.5; Over/Under: 50.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Alabama Crimson Tide and Tennessee Volunteers meet Saturday in week 7 college football action at Neyland Stadium. Here’s a Tennessee vs. Alabama Prediction. This article will include a Tennessee vs. Alabama Pick.
Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Preview
The Alabama Crimson Tide beat Mississippi State, lost to Georgia, and they play Texas A&M next. Alabama hasn’t lost two straight games since the 2013 season. Keelon Russell is completing 67.9 percent of his passes for 1,599 yards, 12 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Ryan Coleman-Williams and Lotzeir Brooks have combined for 804 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Rico Scott has 18 receptions.
The Alabama Crimson Tide ground game is averaging 182.2 yards per contest, and Trae’shawn Brown leads the way with 301 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, Alabama is allowing 20.7 points and 336.3 yards per game. Luke Metz leads the Alabama Crimson Tide with 45 tackles, Devan Thompkins has 3 sacks, and Red Morgan has 2 interceptions.
Tennessee Volunteers Betting Preview
The Tennessee Volunteers beat Auburn and Arkansas, and they play South Carolina next. Tennessee has won 11 of its last 16 games. Faizon Brandon is completing 60.4 percent of his passes for 697 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Mike Matthews and Braylon Staley have combined for 589 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while DaSaahn Brame has 9 receptions.
The Tennessee Volunteers’ ground game is averaging 228.3 yards per contest, and DeSean Bishop leads the way with 678 yards and 8 touchdowns. Defensively, Tennessee is allowing 15.5 points and 293.8 yards per game. Amare Campbell leads the Tennessee Volunteers with 39 tackles, Xavier Gilliam has 5 sacks, and Dejuan Lane has 2 interceptions.
Why the Tennessee Volunteers will win
- Tennessee has won each of its last eight home games in October.
- Alabama has lost each of its last three games as a favorite in Tennessee.
- The underdog has covered the spread in nine of Tennessee’s last 10 games at Neyland Stadium.
- Alabama has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight road games as a top-10 AP-ranked team.
- Tennessee has won the first quarter in four of its last six games as an underdog against teams from Alabama.
- The team ranked 14th in the AP Poll has won the first half in six of its last eight games.
Why the Alabama Crimson Tide will win
- Alabama has won each of its last seven road games against conference opponents.
- Tennessee has lost each of its last seven games against AP-ranked teams.
- Tennessee has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games as a top-15 AP-ranked team.
- Alabama has covered the spread in 17 of its last 21 October games against AP-ranked teams.
- Alabama has won the first quarter in three of its last four games against teams with an AP Ranking of 14.
- Alabama has won the first half in eight of its last nine games in October.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Tennessee’s last six home games in October have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Five of Alabama’s last six games have gone OVER the total points line.
Tennessee Volunteers Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 7, DeSean Bishop ranks 7th amongst FBS players for rushing yards (678) this season.
Alabama Crimson Tide Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 7, Bray Hubbard/Trajen Greco/Red Morgan/Jordan Castell/Tamarcus Cooley/Rasheem Biles/Andre Jordan Jr./Dejuan Lane/Nick Cull/DJ Coleman lead the Southeastern Conference for interceptions (2) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Tennessee ranks 4th among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (1.7).
- Tennessee ranks T4th among FBS teams for H1 opponent points per game this season (5.0).
- Alabama ranks 1st among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (100.0).
- Alabama ranks T1st among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (100.0).
Tennessee vs Alabama Prediction
Tennessee can be a tough place to play, and the crowd will show up, but the Vols have a quarterback issue and just struggled to score against a bad Arkansas team. Alabama doesn’t lose to one-dimensional offenses, and if the Vols can’t have success through the air, it’s going to be a long day. Alabama is also in a bounce-back spot after a tough and close loss to Georgia. Don’t love hooks on top of key numbers, but the Crimson Tide will likely make it tough for Tennessee to do anything offensively. I’ll lay the points with Alabama on the road.
