New Mexico State Aggies (3-6) vs. Tennessee Volunteers (6-3)
November 15, 2025 4:15 pm EDT
The Line: Tennessee Volunteers -39.5 / New Mexico State Aggies +39.5; Over/Under: 60.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The New Mexico State Aggies and the Tennessee Volunteers meet in week 12 college football action from Neyland Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New Mexico State Aggies vs. Tennessee Volunteers prediction.
New Mexico State Aggies Recap
The New Mexico State Aggies come into this game looking to bounce back from a 24-21 loss at the hands of Kennesaw State last time out to sit at 3-6 this season. After this game, New Mexico State will head on the road for a game against UTEP.
Aggies Drop Four In A Row
Logan Fife has thrown for 2,072 yards, 11 touchdowns and 11 interceptions on 55.2% passing while Kadarius Calloway has rushed for 313 yards and 3 touchdowns this season to lead the Aggies on the ground. Donovan Faupel has a team-high 43 catches for 503 yards and 5 touchdowns to lead the Aggies in receiving while Gavin Harris has 30 grabs for 423 yards and a TD. Two more Aggies have 200+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Naeten Mitchell has a team-high 70 total tackles including 46 solo tackles and 3 interceptions while Ezra Christensen has a team-high 6 sacks as well this season. As a unit, New Mexico State’s defense has combined for 16 sacks and 12 interceptions so far this season.
Why the New Mexico State Aggies will win
- Tennessee has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games.
- New Mexico State has covered the spread in five of its last six road games in November.
Tennessee Volunteers Recap
The Tennessee Volunteers come into this game looking to bounce back from a 33-27 loss at the hands of the Oklahoma Sooners to slip to 6-3 this season. After this game, Tennessee will head on the road for a game against the Florida Gators.
Volunteers Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight
Joey Aguilar has thrown for 2,737 yards, 21 touchdowns and 8 interceptions on 65.7% passing while DeSean Bishop has rushed for a team-high 690 yards and 9 TDs and Star Thomas has 428 rushing yards and 5 touchdowns. Peyton Lewis also has 248 rushing yards and 6 touchdowns as well this season. Chris Brazzell II leads Tennessee in receiving with 49 catches for 808 yards and 8 touchdowns while Mike Matthews has 38 grabs for 638 yards and 4 TDs and Braylon Staley has 52 catches for 703 yards and 5 TDs as well. Miles Kitselman also has 25 catches for 250 yards and 2 TDs this season. On defense, Arion Carter has a team-high 63 total tackles while Dominic Bailey has a team-high 4.5 sacks. As a unit, Tennessee’s defense has combined for 30 sacks and 6 interceptions so far this season.
Why the Tennessee Volunteers will win
- Tennessee has won each of its last 23 games against non-AP-ranked teams at Neyland Stadium.
- New Mexico State has lost each of its last four games.
- Tennessee has covered the spread in six of its last seven games against non-conference opponents at Neyland Stadium.
- New Mexico State has failed to cover the spread in six of its last eight games against non-conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Tennessee’s last eight games against non-conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Four of New Mexico State’s last five games have gone UNDER the total points line.
New Mexico State Aggies vs. Tennessee Volunteers Prediction
I’m on the under here. I just have to wonder where Tennessee will be at for this game. Sure, the Vols could take out some frustration after a home loss to Oklahoma, but I also wonder where Tennessee’s heads are at in a nothing non-conference game against New Mexico State with a rivalry game against Florida on deck and no future for the SEC title game ahead. New Mexico State on the other hand, has struggled against less than what they’re up against here, and I just don’t see the Aggies doing a whole lot offensively here. Give me the under.
