College Football

Texas A&M vs Florida Prediction Football Picks Today 10/11/25

Florida Gators (2-3) vs. Texas A&M Aggies (5-0)
October 11, 2025 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Texas A&M Aggies -7.5 / Florida Gators 7.5; Over/Under: 46.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Florida Gators and Texas A&M Aggies meet Saturday in college football action at Kyle Field. Here’s a Texas A&M vs Florida Prediction. This article will include a Texas A&M vs Florida Pick.

Florida Gators Betting Preview

The Florida Gators lost to Miami, beat Texas, and play Mississippi State next. The Florida Gators have lost 3 of their last 4 games. DJ Lagway is completing 68.9 percent of his passes for 988 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions. Vernell Brown III and Hayden Hansen have combined for 442 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while J. Michael Sturdivant has 10 receptions.

The Florida Gators ground game is averaging 130.2 yards per contest, and Jaden Baugh leads the way with 396 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Florida is allowing 17 points and 295 yards per game. Myles Graham leads the Florida Gators with 29 tackles, Brien Taylor Jr. has 1.5 sacks and Dijon Johnson has 1 interception.

Texas A&M Aggies Betting Preview

The Texas A&M Aggies beat Auburn and Mississippi State, and they play Arkansas next. Texas A&M has won 5 straight games. Marcel Reed is completing 59.7 percent of his passes for 1,256 yards, 11 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Mario Craver and KC Concepcion have combined for 958 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns, while Terry Bussey has 9 receptions.

The Texas A&M Aggies ground game is averaging 195.4 yards per contest, and Le’Veon Moss leads the way with 343 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, Texas A&M is allowing 21 points and 289.6 yards per game. Taurean York leads the Texas A&M Aggies with 34 tackles, Cashius Howell has 7 sacks and Daymion Sanford has 1 interception.

Why the Texas A&M Aggies will win

  • Texas A&M has won each of its last 14 games against non-AP-ranked teams at Kyle Field.
  • Florida has lost each of its last 10 games against top-5 AP-ranked teams.
  • Florida has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games against top-5 AP-ranked teams.
  • Texas A&M has covered the spread in four of its last five October games as a home favorite.
  • Texas A&M has won the first half in 10 of its last 12 games against conference opponents at Kyle Field.

Why the Florida Gators will win

  • The underdog has won three of the last four games between Florida and Texas A&M.
  • Texas A&M has failed to cover the spread in 10 of its last 11 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Florida has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games in October.
  • Florida has won the first quarter in three of its last four games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Eight of Florida’s last nine games have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Eleven of Texas A&M’s last 13 home games in October have gone OVER the total points line.

Texas A&M Aggies Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 7, Cashius Howell ranks T1st amongst FBS players for sacks (7.0) this season.

Florida Gators Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 7, Jadan Baugh leads Florida for touchdowns (3) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Texas A&M has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 15+ points of any FBS team this season (3).
  • Texas A&M ranks T12th among FBS teams for average point differential in second quarters this season (+9.6).
  • Florida ranks T8th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (1.4).
  • Florida ranks 127th among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (2.8).

Texas A&M vs Florida Prediction

Texas A&M looks like one of the most balanced teams in the country, with an above-average offense and a defense that gets after the quarterback. The line feels accurate. However, Florida is better than its record, and that includes outplaying LSU on the road. Florida gets after it defensively and has a quarterback with the goods when he’s not turning the ball over.

Florida has covered 7 of its last 10 games as an underdog, and has covered 9 of its last 16 games when an underdog of 7 or more points. Texas A&M is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games as a favorite of 7 or more points. Give me the points with the Gators.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Florida Gators 7.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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