Texas A&M vs LSU Prediction 10-26-24 College Football Picks
LSU Tigers (6-1) vs. Texas A&M Aggies (6-1)
October 26, 2024 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Texas A&M Aggies -2.5 / LSU Tigers +2.5; Over/Under: +53.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The LSU Tigers and Texas A&M Aggies meet Saturday in week 9 college football action at Kyle Field. Here’s a Texas A&M vs LSU Prediction. This article will include a Texas A&M vs LSU Pick.
LSU Tigers Betting Preview
The LSU Tigers beat Ole Miss and Arkansas, and they play Alabama next. LSU has won 4 of its last 6 road games. Garrett Nussmeier is completing 64.7 percent of his passes for 2,222 yards, 18 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Karen Lacy and Aaron Anderson have combined for 1,000 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns, while Mason Taylor has 36 receptions.
The LSU Tigers ground game is averaging 128.3 yards per contest, and Caden Durham leads the way with 382 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, LSU is allowing 20.6 points and 358.4 yards per game. Whit Weeks leads the LSU Tigers with 68 tackles, Bradyn Swinson has 7 sacks and Zy Alexander has 2 interceptions.
Texas A&M Aggies Betting Preview
The Texas A&M Aggies beat Missouri and Mississippi State, and they play South Carolina next. Texas A&M has won 3 straight home games. Conner Weigman is completing 61.5 percent of his passes for 718 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Noah Thomas and Cyrus Allen have combined for 509 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Jabre Barber has 16 receptions.
The Texas A&M Aggies ground game is averaging 218.6 yards per contest, and Le’Veon Moss leads the way with 674 yards and 8 touchdowns. Defensively, Texas A&M is allowing 17.7 points and 325 yards per game. Taurean York leads the Texas A&M Aggies with 40 tackles, Nic Scourton has 4.5 sacks and Marcus Ratcliffe has 3 interceptions.
Why the Texas A&M Aggies will win
- The home team has won each of the last seven games between LSU and Texas A&M.
- LSU has lost each of its last three games at Kyle Field.
- Texas A&M has covered the spread in each of its last four October games against top-10 AP-ranked teams.
- LSU has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six October road games against AP-ranked teams.
- Texas A&M has won the first half in each of its last eight games against conference opponents at Kyle Field.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Texas A&M’s last six October home games against top-15 AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of LSU’s last four games has gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Texas A&M ranks T3rd among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (2.3).
- Texas A&M ranks 3rd among FBS teams for H1 opponent points per game this season (5.7).
- LSU ranks 8th among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (323.0).
- LSU ranks T9th among FBS teams for 1st downs this season (174).
Texas A&M vs LSU Prediction
The Texas A&M Aggies have failed to cover 8 of their last 10 games, and they’re 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite. However, we’re not getting enough points to pull the trigger with LSU. While Texas A&M and LSU have caught fire since early season losses, I trust the Aggies defense more and Weigman is finally starting to play to what people expected to see this season. Kyle Field often makes the difference for Texas A&M, and I’d simply need more points to go on the other side. Give me Texas A&M for a big conference win and a rare cover.