College Football

Texas A&M vs Missouri Prediction 10-5-24 College Football Picks

Missouri Tigers (4-0) vs. Texas A&M Aggies (4-1)
October 5, 2024 12:00 pm EDT
The Line: Texas A&M Aggies -2 / Missouri Tigers +2; Over/Under: +48.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Texas A&M vs Missouri prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, October 5th at Kyle Field in College Station, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 6 matchup. 

Texas A&M Aggies Betting Preview

The Texas A&M Aggies are 4-1 (2-0) this year after they defeated Arkansas by a score of 21-17 last time out. Texas A&M trailed 14-7 in the first quarter and 17-14 in the fourth, but they scored a touchdown with nine minutes left to win the game. The Aggies were outgained by a total of 379-297, won the turnover battle 3-0, and went 4-13 on third down in the game. Marcel Reed threw for 163 yards and two touchdowns, while Le’Veon Moss rushed for 117 yards on 13 carries. 


Texas A&M has also defeated Bowling Green, Florida, and McNeese, but they did lose to Notre Dame by a score of 23-13 in their first game. The Texas A&M offense has scored 29 points per game with 162 passing yards and 231.6 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 18 points per game this season. The Aggies have gone 38.7% on third down and 5-8 on fourth down so far this season. Marcel Reed has completed 54.4% of his passes for 585 yards and six touchdowns, while Cyrus Allen has caught 11 passes for 203 yards and one score. 

Missouri Tigers Betting Preview

The Missouri Tigers are 4-0 (1-0) this season after they defeated Vanderbilt by a score of 30-27 in double overtime in their last game. Missouri led 20-13 in the third quarter, but Vanderbilt was able to force overtime before the Tigers got the win. The Tigers outgained Vandy by a total of 442-324, tied the turnover battle at zero, and went 7-17 on third down in the game. Brady Cook threw for 226 yards and two touchdowns, while Nate Noel rushed for 199 yards on 24 carries. 

Missouri also has wins over Murray State, Buffalo, and Boston College to start the season. The Missouri offense has scored 36.5 points per game with 265.8 passing yards and 206.5 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 12 points per game this season. The Tigers have gone 54.7% on third down and 2-4 on fourth down through four games. Brady Cook has completed 68.7% of his passes for 946 yards, four touchdowns, and one interception, while Nate Noel has rushed for 441 yards and two scores. 

Why Missouri will cover

  • Missouri has won each of its last eight games.
  • Texas A&M has lost each of its last six games against AP-ranked teams.
  • Texas A&M has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six games against AP-ranked teams.
  • Missouri has covered the spread in seven of its last eight road games against conference opponents.
  • Missouri has won the first half in seven of its last nine games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Texas A&M’s last six games as a favorite against AP-ranked teams has gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of Missouri’s last four games against AP-ranked teams has gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Texas A&M ranks T4th among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (1.2).
  • Texas A&M ranks 8th among FBS teams for H1 opponent points per game this season (4.6).
  • Missouri ranks 2nd among FBS teams for 1st downs against this season (45).
  • Missouri ranks 3rd among FBS teams for yards allowed per game this season (219.0).

Texas A&M vs Missouri Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this matchup ranked in the top 25, but Texas A&M does have one loss on the season. The Aggies will have the home-field advantage in this game, but they haven’t looked great in their last two games against Arkansas and Bowling Green. Missouri struggled to get past Vanderbilt at home in their last game, but they are coming off of a bye week. This should be a great game to watch, but I am taking Missouri on the road. I haven’t really been impressed with either team, but I think Cook is the better quarterback option. Take the Tigers with the points. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Missouri +2

Need More? Get Premium Picks

David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

Related Articles

Back to top button