Texas State vs James Madison Prediction Football Picks Today 10/28/25

In this article we will formulate a Texas State vs James Madison prediction for this College Football game on Tuesday, October 28th at UFCU Stadium in San Marcos, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 10 matchup. 

Texas State Bobcats Betting Preview

The Texas State Bobcats are 3-4 (0-3) this year after they lost to Marshall by a score of 40-37 in double overtime in their last game. Texas State led 17-13 at halftime, but they needed a field goal with no time left to tie it, before losing in the second overtime. The Bobcats out gained Marshall by a total of 558-466, went 9-19 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 3-1 in the game. Brad Jackson went 26-38 for 444 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception, while also rushing for 48 yards and one touchdown on 19 carries. Chris Dawn Jr. led the receivers with five catches for 180 yards in the loss. The Texas State defense recorded one sack and eight tackles for loss in the game. 

Prior to that game, Texas State lost to Troy by a score of 48-41 and Arkansas State by a score of 31-30. The Bobcats have lost three games in a row and they are currently last in the Sun Belt West standings. Texas State has scored 36.1 points per game with 257.4 passing yards and 230.7 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 31.3 points against per game this season. Brad Jackson has thrown for 1,786 yards, nine touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Lincoln Pare has rushed for 608 yards and nine scores on 118 carries this year. 

James Madison Dukes Betting Preview

The James Madison Dukes are 6-1 (4-0) this season after they defeated Old Dominion by a score of 63-27 in their last game. James Madison trailed 27-21 in the second quarter, but they scored the last 42 points for the blowout victory. The Dukes out gained ODU by a total of 624-285, went 12-16 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 3-1 in the game. Alonza Barnett III went 17-25 for 295 yards and two touchdowns, while also rushing for 153 yards and four scores on 17 carries. Nick DeGennaro led the receivers with three receptions for 106 yards and two touchdowns in the win. The JMU defense recorded two sacks and four tackles for loss in the game. 

Prior to that game, James Madison defeated Louisiana by a score of 24-14 and Georgia State by a score of 14-7. The Dukes have won five games in a row and they are currently first in the Sun Belt East standings. James Madison has scored 32.3 points per game with 188.6 passing yards and 243.7 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 15.6 points against per game this season. Alonza Barnett III has thrown for 1,252 yards, nine touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Wayne Knight has rushed for 611 yards and five scores on 93 carries this season. 

Matchup/League Facts

• Texas State has suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of five points or less of any FBS team this season (2).
• Texas State has suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of three points or less of any FBS team this season (2).
• James Madison ranks 1st among FBS teams for 1st downs against this season (86).
• James Madison ranks 2nd among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (2.0).

Texas State vs James Madison Prediction 

These two teams come into this matchup on opposite ends of the conference standings, but James Madison will have to keep their focus on the road. The Dukes have won five games in a row and they have scored at least 31 points in three of those five. Texas State has lost three games in a row and they have allowed 31+ in all three. The Bobcats have a decent offensive attack, but I don’t trust their defense at all. Take James Madison to cover on the road. 

David Racey is 93-72 (57%) in College Football this season and is one of the top College Football Handicappers on the site. Click here for his premium plays for the week!