Texas State vs Louisiana Prediction 11/8/25 College Football Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Texas State vs Louisiana Prediction for this College Football Week 11 game on Saturday, November 8^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns Preview

Louisiana has a 3-6 record this season and is sitting 5th in the Sun Belt. They are 4-5 ATS, 5-4 in Over/Under and have a 2-2 home record and a 1-4 away record. Louisiana is coming off a 31-22 road win against South Alabama and will face Arkansas State and Louisiana-Monroe next.

Offensively, Louisiana averages 24.3 points per game, ranking 90th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 29.3 points per game, which is 100th. Louisiana averages 342.3 total yards per game (156.6 passing and 185.8 rushing), while allowing 396.4 total yards per game (195.3 rushing and 201.1 passing).

D’Wanyé Winfield leads Louisiana with 903 passing yards with 57.0% completed passes and 7 touchdowns. Zylan Perry leads the team in rushing yards with 543, while Shelton Sampson has a team-high 19 receptions for 362 receiving yards. Defensively, Jaden Dugger has a team-high 84 total tackles (40 of them solo), while Jordan Lawson leads the team in sacks, with 1.5, and Courtline Flowers has a team-high 2 interceptions.

Texas State Bobcats Preview

Texas State has a 3-5 record this season and is sitting 7th in the Sun Belt. They are 2-6 ATS, 5-3 in Over/Under and have a 2-2 home record and a 1-3 away record. Texas State is coming off a 20-52 home loss against James Madison and will face Southern Mississippi, Louisiana-Monroe and South Alabama next.

Offensively, Texas State averages 34.1 points per game, ranking 33rd in the nation, while defensively, they allow 33.9 points per game, which is 125th. Texas State averages 470.9 total yards per game (253.8 passing and 217.1 rushing), while allowing 418.1 total yards per game (173.3 rushing and 244.9 passing).

Brad Jackson leads Texas State with 2,016 passing yards with 67.7% completed passes and 10 touchdowns. Lincoln Pare leads the team in rushing yards with 648, while Beau Sparks has a team-high 51 receptions for 741 receiving yards. Defensively, Treylin Payne has a team-high 72 total tackles (35 of them solo), while Kalil Alexander leads the team in sacks, with 3.0, and Khamari Terrell, Jaden Rios and Craig Royal Jr. lead the team with 1 interception each.

Texas State Bobcats @ Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns Betting Trends: Week 11

Why the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns will win

• Texas State has lost each of its last three games as a favorite.
• The underdog has won three of Texas State’s last four games.
• Texas State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six games.
• Louisiana has covered the spread in each of its last four games against Texas State.

Why the Texas State Bobcats will win

• The favorite has won nine of the last 10 games between Texas State and Louisiana.
• Louisiana has lost three of its last four games.
• The favorite has covered the spread in eight of the last 10 games between Texas State and Louisiana.
• Louisiana has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games as an underdog against teams from Texas.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Texas State’s last six games in November have gone OVER the total points line.
• Seven of Louisiana’s last eight games in November have gone OVER the total points line.

Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 11, Shelton Sampson Jr. ranks 16th amongst qualified players for Yards Per Reception (19.1) this season.

Texas State Bobcats Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 11, Lincoln Pare ranks 1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Louisiana ranks T131st among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (11.9).
• Louisiana ranks 129th among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (3.2).
• Texas State has given up the largest 2nd quarter lead to win a game this season – 14 points vs Troy.
• Texas State has given up the largest 1st quarter lead to win a game this season – 21 points vs Troy.

Texas State vs Louisiana Prediction

In this Texas State vs Louisiana Prediction, Texas State is coming as -2.5-point road favorites, with the total set at 64.5 points. Both teams are coming into this matchup in poor form, as they are 1-3 and 1-5 in their last 4 and 6 games respectively, so I see no value on either side. The total is set at a high 64.5 points and both teams average 58.4 points per game offensively, while allowing 63.2 points per game defensively. Both numbers are lower that today’s total so go with the under in this one.