Texas Tech vs Colorado Prediction 11-9-24 College Football Picks
Colorado Buffaloes (6-2) vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders (6-3)
November 9, 2024 4:00 pm EDT
The Line: Texas Tech Red Raiders +3.5 / Colorado Buffaloes -3.5; Over/Under: +62.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Colorado Buffaloes and Texas Tech Red Raiders meet Saturday in week 11 college football action at Jones AT&T Stadium. Here’s a Texas Tech vs Colorado Prediction. This article will include a Texas Tech vs Colorado Pick.
Colorado Buffaloes Betting Preview
The Colorado Buffaloes beat Arizona and Cincinnati, and they play Utah next. Colorado has won 3 straight road games. Shedeur Sanders is completing 73.3 percent of his passes for 2,591 yards, 21 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Travis Hunter and LaJohntay Wester have combined for 1,258 receiving yards and 15 touchdowns, while Jimmy Horn Jr. has 33 receptions.
The Colorado Buffaloes ground game is averaging 80.6 yards per contest, and Isaiah Augustave leads the way with 271 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Colorado is allowing 22 points and 364.6 yards per game. Cam’Ron Silmon-Craig leads the Colorado Buffaloes with 60 tackles, Samuel Okunlola has 3 sacks and Preston Hodge has 2 interceptions.
Texas Tech Red Raiders Betting Preview
The Texas Tech Red Raiders lost to TCU, beat Iowa State, and they play Baylor next. Texas Tech has won 4 of its last 5 home games. Behren Morton is completing 62 percent of his passes for 2,300 yards, 19 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. Josh Kelly and Caleb Douglas have combined for 1,330 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns, while Coy Eakin has 28 receptions.
The Texas Tech Red Raiders ground game is averaging 164.4 yards per contest, and Tahj Brooks leads the way with 1,047 yards and 10 touchdowns. Defensively, Texas Tech is allowing 34.4 points and 462.1 yards per game. Jacob Rodriguez leads the Texas Tech Red Raiders with 83 tackles, Terrell Tilmon has 1.5 sacks and Chapman Lewis has 3 interceptions.
Why the Colorado Buffaloes will win
- Colorado has won each of its last five games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Texas Tech has lost 34 of its last 40 games against AP-ranked teams.
- Colorado has covered the spread in each of its last six games.
- Texas Tech has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five home games against AP-ranked teams.
- Colorado has won the first half in three of its last four games against conference opponents.
- Colorado has won the first quarter in four of its last five games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Five of Texas Tech’s last six November games against AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Four of Colorado’s last five road games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Texas Tech ranks 133rd among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (307.2).
- Texas Tech ranks 131st among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (10.8).
- Colorado ranks 130th among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (80.6).
- Colorado ranks 6th among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (2.1).
Texas Tech vs Colorado Prediction
The Texas Tech Red Raiders have the offensive horses to hang in this game, but I’m concerned about a defense that’s 130th in total defense and 121st in scoring defense. This explosive and talented Colorado team should be drooling about this matchup. The Colorado Buffaloes have also had an extra week to prepare for this game. Colorado has covered 6 straight games and is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 road games. The line is more than reasonable. Give me the Buffaloes and the small chalk.