Oregon Ducks (12-1) vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders (12-1)
January 1, 2026 12:00 pm EDT
The Line: Texas Tech Red Raiders +1.5 / Oregon Ducks -1.5; Over/Under: 50.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Oregon Ducks and the Texas Tech Red Raiders meet in a college football playoff matchup from Hard Rock Stadium on Thursday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Oregon Ducks vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders prediction.
Oregon Ducks Recap
The Oregon Ducks come into this game looking to add on to their 51-34 win over James Madison in their first round College Football Playoff matchup last time out.
Ducks Looking To Return To CFP Semifinals For First Time In A Decade
Dante Moore has thrown for 3,046 yards, 28 touchdowns and 8 interceptions on 72.4% passing while Noah Whittington has a team-high 798 rushing yards and 6 touchdowns while Dierre Hill Jr. has 557 rushing yards and 5 TDs. Jordon Davison has 625 rushing yards and 13 TDs while Jayden Limar has 249 rushing yards and 3 TDs. Malik Benson leads Oregon’s receivers with 645 receiving yards and 6 TDs while Kenyon Sadiq has a team-high 42 catches for 509 yards and 8 touchdowns. Jeremiah McClellan and Dakorien Moore each have 400+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Bryce Boettcher has a team-high 113 total tackes while Teitum Tuioti has a team-high 7.5 sacks and Matayo Uiagalelei has 5 sacks. As a unit, Oregon’s defense has combined for 25 sacks and 13 interceptions so far this season.
Why the Oregon Ducks will win
- Oregon has won each of its last 14 games against non-conference opponents.
- Texas Tech has lost each of its last 16 games as an underdog against top-10 AP-ranked teams.
- The favorite has covered the spread in each of Texas Tech’s last six games.
Texas Tech Red Raiders Recap
The Texas Tech Red Raiders come into this game repping the Big 12 after finishing the year at 12-1, knocking off BYU in the Big 12 Title game to reign as Big 12 champions.
Red Raiders Looking To Make Noise In CFP Debut
Behren Morton has thrown for 2,643 yards, 22 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 67% passing while Will Hammond has thrown for 680 yards, 7 touchdowns and 3 interceptions so far this season. Cameron Dickey leads the Red Raiders in rushing with 1,095 rushing yards and 14 TDs and J’Koby Williams has 787 rushing yards and 6 TDs. Hammond also has 299 rushing yards with 5 TDs and Adam Hill has 240 rushing yards as well on the year. Caleb Douglas leads Texas Tech with 54 catches for 846 yards and 7 touchdowns while Coy Eakin has 626 receiving yards and 6 TDs. Reggie Virgil has 676 receiving yards, 55 catches and 6 touchdowns while Terrance Carter Jr. has 552 receiving yards and 5 TDs. On defense, Jacob Rodriguez leads the Red Raiders in tackles with 117 including 61 solo tackles and 4 interceptions while Brice Pollock has a team-high 5 interceptions and David Bailey has a team-high 13.5 sacks. As a unit, Texas Tech’s defense has combined for 39 sacks and 16 interceptions so far this season.
Why the Texas Tech Red Raiders will win
- Texas Tech has won 12 of its last 13 games.
- Oregon has lost each of its last three games against opponents from the Big 12 Conference at neutral venues.
- Texas Tech has covered the spread in 12 of its last 13 games.
- Oregon has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven games against top-15 AP-ranked teams at neutral venues.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Texas Tech’s last six games against top-5 AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
- Five of Oregon’s last six games against non-conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
Oregon Ducks vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders Prediction
I’m on the under in this game. I think this is going to be a bit of a defensive battle with this being a bit of a shock to the system for what Texas Tech’s offense is used to for going up against most of the Big 12, and Oregon’s got a young QB going against one of the best front sevens in the country. I think this is going to be an awesome battle, so give me the under here.
