West Virginia Mountaineers (5-3) vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders (7-1)
November 7, 2026 9:30 pm EDT
The Line: Texas Tech Red Raiders -900 / West Virginia Mountaineers 600; Over/Under: 65.5
(Get latest betting odds)
Texas Tech vs West Virginia Prediction
West Virginia comes into this matchup on a two game winning streak and they have scored 31+ points in three of their last four. The Mountaineers have really struggled on defense, as they have allowed 41+ points in four of their last five games. Texas Tech has just one loss on the season and they have scored 34+ points in three of their last five. The Red Raiders haven’t been great this year and I have questions about their quarterback situation, so I will back West Virginia and the points here.
Texas Tech Red Raiders Betting Preview
The Texas Tech Red Raiders are 7-1 (4-1) this year after they defeated Arizona by a score of 34-26 in their last game. Texas Tech trailed 17-10 at halftime and 23-17 in the third quarter, but they scored the next 17 points to pull away with the win. The Red Raiders out gained Arizona by a total of 472-429, went 6-16 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 1-0 in the game. Thomas Castellanos threw for 144 yards and two touchdowns, while Kenny Johnson caught four passes for 49 yards and one score. J’Koby Williams rushed 14 times for 175 yards and one touchdown in the win.
Prior to that game, Texas Tech lost to Cincinnati by a score of 37-24, but did beat Arizona State by a score of 53-25 before that. The Red Raiders have scored 35.6 points per game with 218.8 passing yards and 207.0 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 21.1 points against per game this season. Thomas Castellanos has thrown for 189 yards with four touchdowns and one interception, while Kenny Johnson has 35 receptions for 548 yards and two scores. J’Koby Williams has rushed 100 times for 794 yards and six touchdowns this year.
West Virginia Mountaineers Betting Preview
The West Virginia Mountaineers are 5-3 (2-3) this season after they defeated TCU by a score of 24-20 in their last game. West Virginia was tied 10-10 at halftime and they trailed 20-17 in the fourth, but they scored the only points in the final quarter for the win. The Mountaineers were out gained by a total of 484-265, went 4-12 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 3-1 in the game. Michael Hawkins Jr threw for 79 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while Prince Strachan caught two passes for 24 yards. Cam Cook rushed 18 times for 90 yards in the win.
Prior to that game, West Virginia defeated Cincinnati by a score of 45-42, but lost to Arizona by a score of 52-31 before that. The Mountaineers have scored 35.9 points per game with 206.5 passing yards and 261.6 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 32.3 points against per game this season. Michael Hawkins Jr has thrown for 1,598 yards with 11 touchdowns and two interceptions, while Cam Cook has rushed 186 times for 923 yards and seven scores. DJ Epps has led the WR with 22 catches for 556 yards and five touchdowns this season.
Why the West Virginia Mountaineers will win
- The team ranked 13th in the AP Poll has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven games.
- West Virginia has covered the spread in three of its last four road games against conference opponents.
- Texas Tech has lost the first half in four of its last five games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of West Virginia’s last six road games in November have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of Texas Tech’s last four home games have gone OVER the total points line.
Texas Tech Red Raiders Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 10, J’Koby Williams ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for catch rate (96.2%) this season.
West Virginia Mountaineers Player Prop Facts
- Michael Hawkins Jr. has recorded 75+ rushing yards in eight consecutive games – longest streak in the FBS, heading into Week 10.
Matchup/League Facts
- Texas Tech has won the fourth quarter in each of its last seven games – equal-longest active streak in the FBS.
- Texas Tech ranks 135th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (285.0).
- West Virginia ranks 138th among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (11.0).
- West Virginia ranks 138th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (317.9).
Positive Trends
When looking at the trends, we don’t have a ton in our favor, but I am still backing the Mountaineers. West Virginia is 3-1 against the spread in their last four conference games on the road and Texas Tech is near the bottom of the nation in passing yards against per game. Take West Virginia and the points here.
