
Texas vs Kansas State Prediction Football Picks 11-4-23
Texas Longhorns (7-1) vs Kansas State Wildcats (6-2)
2023-11-04 12:00:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Texas Longhorns -4.5 -- Over/Under: 51.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Kansas State Wildcats and Texas Longhorns meet Saturday in week 10 college football action at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.
Kansas State Wildcats Betting Preview
The Kansas State Wildcats look to build on their 3-game winning streak. Kansas State has lost 2 of its last 3 road games. Will Howard is completing 63.7 percent of his passes for 1,628 yards, 14 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. Phillip Brooks and Ben Sinnott have combined for 801 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while DJ Giddens has 21 receptions. The Kansas State Wildcats ground game is averaging 226 yards per contest, and DJ Giddens leads the way with 722 yards and 7 touchdowns. Defensively, Kansas State is allowing 15.9 points and 343.8 yards per game. Austin Moore leads the Kansas State Wildcats with 43 tackles, Khalid Duke has 5 sacks and Will Lee III has 2 interceptions.
Kansas State Wildcats Team Facts
- Kansas State has lost nine of its last 10 November games against AP-ranked teams.
- Kansas State has covered the spread in eight of its last nine games against conference opponents.
- Kansas State has won the first half in eight of its last nine games against conference opponents.
- Kansas State has won the first quarter in each of its last three games against conference opponents.
- Nine of Kansas State’s last 10 games as an underdog against top-10 AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
Texas Longhorns Betting Preview
The Texas Longhorns look to remain unbeaten at home while improving to 8-1 on the year. Texas has won 5 straight home games. Quinn Ewers is completing 70.9 percent of his passes for 1,915 yards, 13 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Xavier Worthy and Adonai Mitchell have combined for 999 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns, while Ja’Tavion Sanders has 20 receptions. The Texas Longhorns ground game is averaging 180 yards per contest, and Jonathon Brooks leads the way with 923 yards and 7 touchdowns. Defensively, Texas is allowing 16 points and 328 yards per game. Jaylan Ford leads the Texas Longhorns with 57 tackles, Ethan Burke has 3 sacks and Jerrin Thompson has 2 interceptions.
Texas Longhorns Team Facts
- Texas has won each of its last six games against Kansas State.
- Texas has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven November home games against AP-ranked teams.
- Texas has won the first half in four of its last five games against conference opponents.
- Texas has won the first quarter in six of its last seven games against conference opponents.
- Each of Texas’ last seven games against AP-ranked teams at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Texas are one of only eight FBS teams undefeated in road games this season.
- Texas rank 15th among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (16.0).
- Kansas State rank 13th among FBS teams for points per game this season (37.4).
- Kansas State rank 14th among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (15.9).
Randy’s Pick
The Texas Longhorns should be favored at home, but they’re getting extra love because they’re the sexier team. Kansas State doesn’t have all of the household names or the reputation. Instead, KSU is just a top-20 offense and a top-20 scoring defense in the country. Kansas State has been tripped up twice on the road this season, but the Wildcats are one of the most balanced teams in college football. Whenever I can get a team this good in the underdog role, I’m taking it. Give me Kansas State and the points.