College Football

Texas vs Mississippi State Prediction 9-28-24 College Football Picks

Mississippi State Bulldogs (1-3) vs. Texas Longhorns (4-0)
September 28, 2024 4:15 pm EDT
The Line: Texas Longhorns -38.5 / Mississippi State Bulldogs +38.5; Over/Under: +61.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Texas vs Mississippi State prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, September 28th at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium in Austin, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week five matchup. 

Texas Longhorns Betting Preview

The Texas Longhorns are 4-0 this year after they defeated UL-Monroe by a score of 51-3 in their last game. Texas scored the first 28 points in this game and they were able to roll to the big win in the second half. The Longhorns out gained ULM by a total of 497-111, tied the turnover battle at two, and went 7-13 on third down in the game. Arch Manning threw for 258 yards, two touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Jaydon Blue rushed for 124 yards and three scores. 


Texas has also defeated Colorado State, Michigan, and UTSA in their first three games. The Texas offense has scored 47.5 points per game with 321.5 passing yards and 189.8 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 5.5 points against per game this season. The Longhorns have gone 51% on third down and 4-7 on fourth down so far this season. Quinn Ewers is questionable for this game, so it is possible Arch Manning gets another start. Isaiah Bond has caught 15 passes for 290 yards and three scores this year. 

Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Preview

The Mississippi State Bulldogs are 1-3 (0-1) this season after they lost to Florida by a score of 45-28 last week. Mississippi State tied the game at seven in the first quarter and only trailed 28-21 in the third quarter, but the game got away from them after that point. The Bulldogs were out gained by a total of 503-480, tied the turnover battle at one, and went 11-20 on third down in the game. Blake Shapen threw for 140 yards and one touchdown, while Johnnie Daniels rushed for 77 yards and one score on 14 carries. 

Mississippi State has also lost to Arizona State and Toledo, but they did defeat Eastern Kentucky by a score of 56-7 in their season opener. The Mississippi State offense has scored 31 points per game with 268.5 passing yards and 133.3 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 30.8 points against per game this season. The Bulldogs have gone 45.5% on third down and 6-10 on fourth down through four games. Michael Van Buren Jr. will get the start in this game, but he has only attempted 13 passes this season, while Kevin Coleman Jr. has caught 22 passes for 287 yards and three scores. 

Texas vs Mississippi State Prediction 

Texas comes into this game as a huge favorite to get the win, so it shouldn’t matter if Ewers or Manning is under center for this matchup. The Longhorns have dominated the first four games of their season, including a beat down of Michigan on the road. Texas is the #1 team in the country and they have been great on both sides of the ball. Mississippi State has lost three games in a row and their defense has been awful. I expect Texas to do whatever they want in this game, but I do think they will take their foot off of the gas in the second half, especially with a bye week and Oklahoma up next. Take Mississippi State and the points here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Mississippi State +38.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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