College Football

Texas vs Ohio State Prediction 1-10-25 College Football Picks

Ohio State Buckeyes (12-2) vs. Texas Longhorns (13-2)
January 10, 2025 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Texas Longhorns +6; Over/Under: 53
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Texas vs Ohio State Prediction for this College Football Playoff Semifinal game on Friday, January 10th, at the AT&T Stadium. Let’s take a look at a Texas Longhorns vs Ohio State Buckeyes pick.

The last time these two teams faced off was in 2006 and it was Ohio State that was able to secure the 24-7. 


Ohio State Looks for Real

Remember a couple of games ago when Ohio State was embarrassed by Michigan and the Buckeyes season looked over? Yes I admit I was one of those who was panicking also, but it seems all of that might have been overblown because this team looks like the National Champion favorites. Against the Tennessee Volunteers, Ohio State was up 42-17 and in the last game against the Oregon Ducks, Ohio State was able to secure the 41-21 victory. At halftime, Ohio State was up 34-8 and they never looked back on the way to the victory. Will Howard completed 17 of his 26 passes for 319 yards, three touchdowns, and zero interceptions. TreVeyon Henderson had a huge game finishing with eight carries for 94 yards, and two touchdowns. Jeremiah Smith finished with seven catches for 187 yards and two touchdowns. 

Ohio State on the season is averaging 36.4 points while their defense is giving up 12.1 points per game. The offense is ranked 11th in the league while the defense is ranked 1st. On the season, Will Howard has thrown for 3,490 yards, 32 touchdowns, and nine interceptions. 

Why Ohio State Will Beat Texas

  • Ohio State has won each of its last four games against top-10 AP-ranked teams.
  • Ohio State has covered the spread in each of its last four games as a favorite against top-15 AP-ranked teams.
  • Texas has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games against top-15 AP-ranked teams.

Texas Just Escaped In Last Game

Texas just escaped in the last game against Arizona State. Texas up 17-3 at halftime and they looked to be in good shape on the way to a blowout. In the second half though they blew it, and it took double overtime to get the job done. Quinn Ewers completed 20 of his 30 passes 322 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception. Wide receiver Matthew Golden finished with seven catches for 149 yards and a touchdown. Two games ago against Clemson they scored 38 points on the way to the 14 point victory. 

Texas on the season is averaging 34.3 points while their defense is giving up 14.5 points per game. The offense is ranked 21st while the defense is ranked 4th. Ewers on the season has thrown for 3,189 yards, 29 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions. In this game, if they want to succeed, they need to get out to a fast start again, but then they can’t take their foot off the gas. 

Total Point Facts

  • Each of Texas’ last five Bowl games as an underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of Ohio State’s last four games against non-conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Texas ranks T2nd among FBS teams for interceptions this season (21).
  • Texas ranks 3rd among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (1.8).
  • Ohio State ranks 1st among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (4.6).
  • Ohio State ranks 1st among FBS teams for yards allowed per game this season (244.6).

Texas vs Ohio State Prediction

I expect this game is going to be competitive, but Ohio State just feels like a juggernaut right now, and I don’t think anyone can slow them down. The Texas defense couldn’t stop anything in the second half and they are going to really struggle again here. Will Howard has all kinds of confidence right now and they are going to have no issue running up the score here. Look for the Buckeyes offense to get out to a fast start, Texas is going to have no answer, and this will be ugly. Quinn Ewers is also going to throw a couple of interceptions, and Ohio State will cover it. Back Ohio State against the spread here.

Shane Mickle's Free Pick: Ohio state -6

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Shane Mickle

Sports is about all Shane knows in this life! He has a passion for sports and writing, which makes working for Sportschatplace a perfect job for him! If you find him cheering for a team it's usually a Minnesota team, or the Kansas Jayhawks!

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