Ohio State Buckeyes (1-0) vs. Texas Longhorns (1-0)
September 12, 2026 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Texas Longhorns -118 / Ohio State Buckeyes -102; Over/Under: 49.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a Texas vs Ohio State prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, September 12th at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium in Austin, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 2 matchup.
Texas Longhorns Betting Preview
The Texas Longhorns are 1-0 this year after they defeated Texas State by a score of 59-7 last week. Texas led 28-7 at halftime and they added 31 points in the second half for the blowout win. The Longhorns out gained Texas State by a total of 516-349, went 11-15 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 3-1 in the game. Arch Manning threw for 305 yards, four touchdowns, and one interception, while Ryan Wingo caught seven passes for 121 yards and one score. Hollywood Smothers rushed 10 times for 70 yards in the game.
Last year, Texas went 10-3 (6-2) and they finished tied for fifth in the SEC standings. Texas started the season with a 14-7 loss to Ohio State, but bounced back with a 38-7 win over SJSU. The Longhorns were 3-2 through five games, but they went 7-1 in their last eight, including a 41-27 win over Michigan in the Citrus Bowl.
Ohio State Buckeyes Betting Preview
The Ohio State Buckeyes are 1-0 this season after they defeated Ball State by a score of 56-3 last week. Ohio State led 28-3 at halftime and they scored 28 points in the second half to win and cover. The Buckeyes out gained Ball State by a total of 671-165, went 5-11 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at one in the game. Julian Sayin threw for 320 yards and three touchdowns, while Jeremiah Smith had eight catches for 151 yards and two scores. Ja’Kobi Jackson rushed eight times for 83 yards and one touchdown in the win.
The Buckeyes were 12-2 (9-0) last year and they finished tied for first in the Big Ten regular season standings. Ohio State opened the season with a 14-7 win over Texas, which was followed up by a 70-0 win over Grambling and a 37-9 win over Ohio. The Buckeyes won each of their first 12 games, but they lost the Big Ten Championship game to Indiana by a score of 13-10 and their first CFP game against Miami by a score of 24-14 in the Cotton Bowl. Ohio State scored 33.4 points per game in 2025, while they allowed 9.3 points against per game on defense.
Why the Texas Longhorns will win
- Texas has won each of its last 14 September home games as an AP-ranked team.
- Ohio State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six September games against AP-ranked teams.
- Texas has covered the spread in nine of its last 10 September games against AP-ranked teams.
- Texas has won the first half in each of its last 14 games in September.
- Texas has won the first quarter in each of its last 10 games in September.
Why the Ohio State Buckeyes will win
- Ohio State has won each of its last 17 games in September.
- Texas has lost each of its last three games as a top-10 AP-ranked team against an AP-ranked team.
- Texas has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six games as a top-10 AP-ranked team against a top-10 AP-ranked team.
- Ohio State has covered the spread in six of its last seven games against top-5 AP-ranked teams.
- The team ranked 1st in the AP Poll has won the first half in each of its last 16 games.
- Ohio State has won the first quarter in 11 of its last 13 September games as a top-5 AP-ranked team.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Ohio State’s last five road games have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of Texas’ last five games as a favorite have gone OVER the total points line.
Texas Longhorns Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 2, Hollywood Smothers ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.
Ohio State Buckeyes Player Prop Facts
- Julian Sayin has recorded a 120.0+ passer rating in 15 consecutive games – longest streak in the FBS.
Matchup/League Facts
- Texas ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
- Texas ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
- Ohio State ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
- Ohio State ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
Texas vs Ohio State Prediction
Texas comes into this matchup looking for revenge after losing to OSU last year and they will have the home field advantage. The Longhorns are a much better team than they were in week one last year and Manning has improved a lot. Ohio State dominated Ball State last week and they are extremely talented, so this will be a great game. I feel like the home field is a huge advantage in a matchup like this, so I will back Texas to win.
