Vanderbilt Commodores (7-1) vs. Texas Longhorns (6-2)
November 1, 2025 12:00 pm EDT
The Line: Texas Longhorns -2.5 / Vanderbilt Commodores 2.5; Over/Under: 47.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Vanderbilt Commodores and Texas Longhorns meet Saturday in college football action at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium. Here’s a Texas vs Vanderbilt Prediction. This article will include a Texas vs Vanderbilt Pick.
Vanderbilt Commodores Betting Preview
The Vanderbilt Commodores beat LSU and Missouri, and they play Auburn next. The Vanderbilt Commodores have 8 of their last 9 games. Diego Pavia is completing 68.8 percent of his passes for 1,698 yards, 15 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. Eli Stowers and Junior Sherrill have combined for 709 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, while Tre Richardson has 24 receptions.
The Vanderbilt Commodores ground game is averaging 203.4 yards per contest, and Diego Pavia leads the way with 458 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, Vanderbilt is allowing 18.8 points and 322.6 yards per game. CJ Heard leads the Vanderbilt Commodores with 43 tackles, Miles Capers has 4.5 sacks and Martel Hight has 1 interception.
Texas Longhorns Betting Preview
The Texas Longhorns recently beat Kentucky and Mississippi State, and they play Georgia next. The Texas Longhorns have won 6 of their last 7 games. Arch Manning is completing 60.9 percent of his passes for 1,795 yards, 15 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Ryan Wingo and De’Andre Moore Jr. have combined for 834 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Parker Livingstone has 19 receptions.
The Texas Longhorns ground game is averaging 139.8 yards per contest, and Quintrevion Wisner leads the way with 263 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Texas is allowing 14.6 points and 299.9 yards per game. Anthony Hill Jr. leads the Texas Longhorns with 60 tackles, Colin Simmons has 7 sacks and Jelani McDonald has 2 interceptions.
Why the Texas Longhorns will win
- Texas has won each of its last 10 games in November.
- Vanderbilt has lost each of its last six November games against AP-ranked teams.
- The home team has covered the spread in four of Vanderbilt’s last five games.
- Texas has won the first quarter in eight of its last nine games against conference opponents at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium.
- Texas has won the first half in seven of its last eight games against conference opponents at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium.
Why the Vanderbilt Commodores will win
- Texas has lost each of its last nine games against top-15 AP-ranked teams at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium.
- Vanderbilt has won eight of its last nine games.
- Vanderbilt has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games as a road underdog.
- Texas has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight November home games against AP-ranked teams.
- Texas has lost the first half in three of its last four games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Vanderbilt’s last five road games against conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of Texas’ last five games against top-10 AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Texas Longhorns Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 10, Anthony Hill Jr. leads the Southeastern Conference for forced fumbles (3) this season.
Vanderbilt Commodores Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 10, Sedrick Alexander is one of only six players in the FBS to record 3+ rushing and 3+ receiving TDs this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Texas has overturned the largest 3rd quarter deficit to win a game this season – 17 points vs Mississippi State.
- Texas has the worst single-game yard differential in a win this season (179-395 vs Kentucky in Week 8).
- Vanderbilt ranks 4th among FBS teams for average point differential in third quarters this season (+7.4).
- Vanderbilt ranks 8th among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (9.9).
Texas vs Vanderbilt Prediction
Texas is going to get the benefit of the doubt because it’s at home and that defense is one of the best in the country. However, the value is with Vanderbilt and the points. Vanderbilt has proven up to this point that it’s legit, and Diego Pavia is a dog who isn’t afraid of the moment. Texas has questions at quarterback and is 2-6 ATS on the season. Vanderbilt is 6-2 ATS on the season. Vanderbilt has outright won 3 of its last 4 games as an underdog, and has covered 11 of its last 14 games as an underdog. Give me the road dog.
