Troy vs Georgia State Prediction Football Picks Today 11/22/25

The Georgia State Panthers and Troy Trojans meet Saturday in college football action at Veterans Memorial Stadium. Here’s a Troy vs Georgia State Prediction. This article will include a Troy vs Georgia State Pick.

Georgia State Panthers Betting Preview

The Georgia State Panthers lost to Marshall and Coastal Carolina, and they play Old Dominion next. Georgia State has lost 7 straight games. TJ Finely is completing 63.2 percent of his passes for 1,244 yards, 6 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions. Ted Hurst and Javon Robinson have combined for 1,365 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns, while Grant Hollier has 17 receptions.

The Georgia State Panthers ground game is averaging 118 yards per contest, and Jordan Simmons leads the way with 388 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Georgia State is allowing 39.6 points and 455.4 yards per game. Josiah Robinson leads the Georgia State Panthers with 76 tackles, Kedrick Walker has 2.5 sacks and Jordan Huff has 1 interception.

Troy Trojans Betting Preview

The Troy Trojans lost to Arkansas State and Old Dominion, and play Southern Miss next. Troy has won 5 of its last 7 games. Tucker Kilcrease is completing 60.3 percent of his passes for 1,414 yards, 9 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. RaRa Thomas and Tray Taylor have combined for 729 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while DJ Epps has 26 receptions.

The Troy Trojans ground game is averaging 124 yards per contest, and Tae Meadows leads the way with 556 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Troy is allowing 24.1 points and 412.6 yards per game. Jordan Stringer leads the Troy Trojans with 91 tackles, Donnie Smith has 7 sacks and Jaquez White has 2 interceptions.

Why the Troy Trojans will win

• Georgia State has lost 17 of its last 18 games against conference opponents.
• The favorite has won each of Georgia State’s last 10 games.
• Georgia State has failed to cover the spread in 10 of its last 11 games.
• The favorite has covered the spread in each of Georgia State’s last five games.
• Troy has won the first half in 14 of its last 17 home games against conference opponents.

Why the Georgia State Panthers will win

• Georgia State has won four of its last five games in Alabama.
• Troy has lost three of its last four games in November.
• Georgia State has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games in Alabama.
• Troy has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five games as a home favorite against teams from Georgia.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Georgia State’s last five road games have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of Troy’s last five games against teams from Georgia have gone UNDER the total points line.

Troy Trojans Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 13, Tray Taylor ranks 8th amongst qualified players for Yards Per Reception (20.1) this season.

Georgia State Panthers Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 13, Cameran Brown ranks 3rd in the league for TD:INT ratio (13.00) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Troy has overturned the largest 1st quarter deficit to win a game this season – 21 points vs Texas State.
• Troy ranks 125th among FBS teams for average point differential in first quarters this season (-4.5).
• Georgia State ranks 136th among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (39.6).
• Georgia State ranks 135th among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (20.3).

Troy vs Georgia State Prediction

Georgia State is 1-9 SU and ATS on the season, making this probably the most useless team in college football. Georgia State is 113th in scoring offense and 136th in scoring defense. Georgia State doesn’t do anything right. Troy has hit a rough patch all of a sudden, but this is still a bowl eligible team, and it’s senior night for 27 seniors. Georgia State has failed to cover 7 of its last 10 games as a double-digit underdog. Troy has covered 7 of its last 10 games as a double-digit favorite. I’ll lay the points with the Trojans at home.