Troy vs Southern Miss Prediction 11-30-24 College Football Picks
Southern Miss Golden Eagles (1-10) vs. Troy Trojans (3-8)
November 30, 2024 2:00 pm EDT
The Line: Troy Trojans -17 / Southern Miss Golden Eagles +17; Over/Under: +47.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Southern Miss Golden Eagles and the Troy Trojans will meet on Saturday in college football action from Troy University Veterans Memorial Stadium. Here’s a Troy vs Southern Miss prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Troy vs Southern Miss pick.
Southern Miss Betting Preview
The Eagles’ season has been rough so far, with a lone win over Southeastern LA on September 7. Otherwise, it was losses to Kentucky, South Florida, Louisiana, Jacksonville State, LA-Monroe, Arkansas State, James Madison, Marshall, and Texas State through the first 10 games.
In their matchup with South Alabama, Southern Miss was behind by only three points at the break but couldn’t do much in the second half during a 35-14 loss. Tate Rodemaker threw for 108 yards and a TD. Rodrigues Clark rushed 12 times for 115 yards in the defeat.
Troy Trojans Betting Preview
Over on the Troy side, they lost seven of their first eight to Nevada, Memphis, Iowa, LA-Monroe, Texas State, South Alabama, and Arkansas State. The Trojans would win the next pair over Coastal Carolina and Georgia Southern, though.
Matched up against Louisiana on Saturday, Troy gave up 27 points in the second quarter alone during a 51-30 loss. Matthew Caldwell threw for 230 yards, four scores, and two picks. Damien Taylor rushed 16 times for 67 yards, and Devonte Ross caught eight balls for 95 yards and a TD.
Why the Troy Trojans will win
- Southern Miss has lost each of its last nine games.
- The favorite has won each of Southern Miss’s last 13 games.
- Southern Miss has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Troy has covered the spread in each of its last three games against Southern Miss.
- Southern Miss has lost the first half in each of its last eight games against conference opponents.
Why the Southern Miss Golden Eagles will win
- Troy has lost three of its last four games as a favorite.
- Southern Miss has covered the spread in 10 of its last 13 road games in November.
- Troy has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Troy has lost the first half in five of its last six games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Southern Miss’ last five November games as a road underdog against non-AP-ranked teams has gone OVER the total points line.
- Five of Troy’s last six November games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
Troy vs Southern Miss Prediction
I’ll stick with Troy. That said, there’s not a whole lot of intrigue here if you’re not a fan of either team. The Trojans are coming off a bad loss to a pretty solid Louisiana team, posting three turnovers and giving up 418 yards (323 passing) on defense. Troy has been scoring well lately with 28 or more points in four straight, but they’ve gone just 2-2 in that quartet.
As for Southern Miss, they held the ball for most of the game (38:48) in their latest loss but could only score 14 points along the way. The Eagles have been below 16 points in four straight games, so it’s tough imagining them competing for too long in this one.