College Football

Troy vs Texas State Prediction 10-3-24 College Football Picks

Texas State Bobcats (2-2) vs. Troy Trojans (1-4)
October 3, 2024 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Troy Trojans +14 / Texas State Bobcats -14; Over/Under: +57.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Troy vs Texas State prediction for this College Football game on Thursday, October 3rd at Veterans Memorial Stadium in Troy, Alabama. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 6 matchup. 

Troy Trojans Betting Preview

The Troy Trojans are 1-4 (0-1) this year after they lost to UL-Monroe by a score of 13-9 in their last game. Troy led 6-3 at halftime and 9-6 in the fourth, but they allowed the only touchdown in the game for the loss. The Trojans outgained ULM by a total of 272-247, won the turnover battle 1-0, and went 4-11 on third down in the game. Tucker Kilcrease threw for 57 yards on six completions, while Gerald Green rushed for 102 yards on 13 carries. 

Troy also has losses against Nevada, Memphis, and Iowa this season, but they did beat Florida A&M by a score of 34-12 in the game prior to ULM. The Troy offense has scored 21.4 points per game with 189 passing yards and 145.8 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 25.8 points per game this season. The Trojans have gone 48.5% on third down and 3-5 on fourth down so far this season. The Troy quarterback room is an unknown right now, as Crowder is injured and Kilcrease was not very effective last week. Damien Taylor has rushed for 336 yards and two scores this season. 

Texas State Bobcats Betting Preview

The Texas State Bobcats are 2-2 (0-0) this season after they lost to Sam Houston by a score of 40-39 in their last game. Texas State led 22-0 after the first quarter and 39-21 early in the third quarter, but they allowed the last 19 points in the game for the loss. The Bobcats outgained SHSU by a total of 417-393, tied the turnover battle at one, and went 5-11 on third down in the game. Jordan McCloud threw for 326 yards and three touchdowns, while Jaden Williams caught 10 passes for 133 yards. 

Texas State opened the season with two wins against Lamar and UTSA, but they also lost to Arizona State in the game prior to Sam Houston. The Texas State offense has scored 37.5 points per game with 294 passing yards and 157.8 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 27 points per game this season. The Bobcats have gone 44.4% on third down and 6-12 on fourth down through four games. Jordan McCloud has completed 69.3% of his passes for 1,141 yards, 12 touchdowns, and three interceptions, while Ismail Mahdi has rushed for 307 yards and one score. 

Troy vs Texas State Prediction 

Texas State comes into this matchup trying to snap their two-game losing streak, but it won’t be easy to bounce back after their second-half collapse in their last game. The Bobcats have a very good offense, but this will be their first road game of the season. Troy is coming off of a disappointing loss against ULM and they are looking for their first win against a FBS team. This Troy team is nowhere near the level of past teams that we are used to seeing and I don’t think they have enough on the offensive side of the ball to keep this close. Take Texas State to bounce back on the road. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Texas State -14

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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