UL Monroe Warhawks (0-6) vs. Troy Trojans (3-3)
October 24, 2026 4:00 pm EDT
The Line: Troy Trojans -13.5 / UL Monroe Warhawks 13.5; Over/Under: 50.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The UL Monroe Warhawks and Troy Trojans meet Saturday in week 8 college football action at Veterans Memorial Stadium. Here’s a Troy vs. UL Monroe Prediction. This article will include a Troy vs. UL Monroe Pick.
UL Monroe Warhawks Betting Preview
The UL Monroe Warhawks lost to South Alabama and LA Tech, and they play Southern Miss next. The UL Monroe Warhawks have lost 14 straight games. Aidan Armenta is completing 63.4 percent of his passes for 974 yards, 6 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Derrick Jameson and LT Robinson have combined for 463 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Parker Fulghum has 14 receptions.
The UL Monroe Warhawks’ ground game is averaging 120.5 yards per contest, and Austin Carlisle leads the way with 230 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, UL Monroe is allowing 41.5 points and 483.2 yards per game. Noah Flemmings leads the UL Monroe Warhawks with 51 tackles, Tyrell Brown has 2.5 sacks, and Armoni Rue has 1 interception.
Troy Trojans Betting Preview
The Troy Trojans lost to Louisiana, beat Southern Miss, and they play James Madison next. Troy has lost 3 of its last 4 games. Goose Crowder is completing 56.8 percent of his passes for 1,112 yards, 9 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. TJ Keyes and Noreel White have combined for 458 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Jace Petty has 16 receptions.
The Troy Trojans ground game is averaging 204.7 yards per contest, and Gavin Griffin leads the way with 359 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Troy is allowing 25.5 points and 350 yards per game. Keno Jones leads the Troy Trojans with 40 tackles, Donnie Smith has 5 sacks, and Jamarion Keyes has 1 interception.
Why the Troy Trojans will win
- Louisiana-Monroe has lost each of its last 15 road games in October.
- Troy has won each of its last 10 October games as a favorite.
- Louisiana-Monroe has failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven games in October.
- Troy has covered the spread in each of its last six October games as a favorite.
- Troy has won the first quarter in three of its last four games against Louisiana-Monroe.
- Troy has won the first half in each of its last 12 October games as a home favorite.
Why the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks will win
- The road team has won each of the last three games between Louisiana-Monroe and Troy.
- Troy has lost three of its last four games.
- Troy has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- The road team has covered the spread in eight of Louisiana-Monroe’s last 10 games.
Total Points Facts
- Eleven of Troy’s last 12 games have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Ten of Louisiana-Monroe’s last 11 October games as a road underdog have gone OVER the total points line.
Troy Trojans Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 8, TK Keyes ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Yards Per Reception (21.7) this season.
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 8, Derrick Jameson leads Louisiana-Monroe for touchdowns (3) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Troy ranks 135th among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (7.2).
- Troy ranks T133rd among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (3.5).
- Louisiana-Monroe ranks 137th among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (41.2).
- Louisiana-Monroe ranks 137th among FBS teams for H1 opponent points per game this season (23.5).
Troy vs UL Monroe Prediction
UL Monroe has been a big underdog all season long and is winless SU and 1-5 ATS. UL Monroe has zero value in the betting market these days. UL Monroe is 108th in total offense, 123rd in scoring offense, 134th in total defense, and 137th in scoring defense. UL Monroe is terrible. Troy isn’t a world beater in its own right, but anything is better than UL Monroe. I have to lay the points to fade; arguably the worst team in the country.
