Tulsa vs Arkansas Prediction Football Picks Today 9/26/26

In this article, we will formulate a Tulsa vs Arkansas Prediction for this College Football Week 4 matchup on Saturday, September 26^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Arkansas Razorbacks Preview

Arkansas has a 1-2 record and are coming off a 17-45 home loss against Georgia. They will face Texas A&M and Tennessee next. Offensively, Arkansas averages 19.3 points per game, ranking 122nd in the nation, while defensively, they allow 34 points per game, which is 122nd. Arkansas averages 340 total yards per game (264.7 passing and 75.3 rushing), while allowing 352.7 total yards per game (144.7 rushing and 208 passing).

KJ Jackson leads Arkansas with 618 passing yards with 60.4% completed passes and 4 touchdowns. Sutton Smith leads the team in rushing yards with 66, while Chris Marshall has a team-high 19 receptions for 278 receiving yards. Defensively, Khmori House has a team-high 17 total tackles (11 of them solo), adding a team-high 2 sacks.

Tulsa Golden Hurricane Preview

Tulsa has a 3-0 record and are coming off a 42-0 home win against East Texas A&M. They will face North Texas and Navy next. Offensively, Tulsa averages 29.7 points per game, ranking 81st in the nation, while defensively, they allow 9 points per game, which is 7th. Tulsa averages 392.7 total yards per game (172.3 passing and 220.3 rushing), while allowing 342.3 total yards per game (102.3 rushing and 240 passing).

Baylor Hayes leads Tulsa with 353 passing yards with 62.3% completed passes and 1 touchdown. Damari Alston leads the team in rushing yards with 186, while Oran Singleton has a team-high 9 receptions for 163 receiving yards. Defensively, Chris Thompson Jr. has a team-high 26 total tackles (12 of them solo), while Thomas Davis leads the team with 4 sacks.

Tulsa Golden Hurricane @ Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Trends: Week 4

Why the Arkansas Razorbacks will win

• The favorite has won each of Arkansas’ last six games.
• Tulsa has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games against teams from Arkansas.
• The favorite has covered the spread in four of Arkansas’ last five games.
• The home team has won the first half in each of Tulsa’s last 10 games.
• The home team has won the first quarter in each of Tulsa’s last three games.

Why the Tulsa Golden Hurricane will win

• Arkansas has lost 12 of its last 13 games.
• Tulsa has won each of its last three games as an underdog.
• Arkansas has failed to cover the spread in each of its last 13 games against non-AP-ranked teams at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium.
• Tulsa has covered the spread in nine of its last 10 September games as a road underdog.
• The underdog has won the first quarter in three of Tulsa’s last four games.
• Tulsa has won the first half in four of its last five games against non-conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Tulsa’s last 10 games against non-conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Ten of Arkansas’ last 12 games as a favorite have gone OVER the total points line.

Arkansas Razorbacks Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 4, Chris Marshall ranks 25th amongst FBS players for receiving yards (278) this season.

Tulsa Golden Hurricane Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 4, Javon Ross ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Arkansas ranks 135th among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (75.3).
• Arkansas ranks T5th among FBS teams for sacks this season (10.0).
• Tulsa ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
• Tulsa ranks T137th among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (50.0).

Tulsa vs Arkansas Prediction

In this Tulsa vs Arkansas Prediction, Arkansas is coming as -7.5 home favorites. Tulsa has been undefeated this season and has been playing elite defense, ranking 7^th in the entire country in points allowed, compared to Arkansas’ 34 ppg (122^nd). Arkansas has back-to-back losses and has not covered the spread in any of its games this season, having scored just 27 total points in its last two games. I expect the guests to keep this one close, so take Tulsa and grab those +7.5 points in this one.