Oklahoma State Cowboys (1-9) vs. UCF Golden Knights (4-6)
November 22, 2025 4:00 pm EDT
The Line: UCF Golden Knights -14.5; Over/Under: 48.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Oklahoma State Cowboys and the Central Florida Knights meet Saturday in college football action from FBC Mortgage Stadium. Here’s a Central Florida vs Oklahoma State prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Central Florida vs Oklahoma State pick.
Oklahoma State Cowboys Betting Preview
Oklahoma State beat Tennessee-Martin in their first outing this year, then hit a losing streak. Those defeats came versus Oregon, Tulsa, Baylor, Arizona, Houston, Cincinnati, Texas Tech and Kansas in succession. In the 38-21 road outcome versus the Jayhawks, Oklahoma State gave up 28 points in the second half. The Cowboys generates 316 yards on offense with 19 first downs and 8-of-14 on third-down tries. On defense Oklahoma State gave up 232 yards, 5.9 yards per play, 18 first downs and 6-of-10 on third-down conversion attempts.
In their matchup versus Kansas State last weekend, the Cowboys were down 7-6 going into the final quarter. Oklahoma State couldn’t score from there and ended up losing 14-6 in the end. QB Zane Flores had a 24-of-36 line for 233 yards and two picks, while leading rusher Rodney Fields had 51 yards on 14 carries. Terrill Davis caught four balls for 55 yards as the Cowboys’ leading receiver in the losing effort.
Central Florida Knights Betting Preview
Over on the Central Florida side, they opened the season with three wins over Jacksonville State, NC A&T and North Carolina. The Knights would then lose three versus Kansas State, Kansas and Cincinnati, though. UCF beat West Virginia in the next game then lost to Baylor and Houston. In the 30-27 result versus the Cougars, the Knights were outscored 13-3 in the second half. UCF ended up with a tepid 282 yards total, 136 pass yards, 4.7 yards per play, 14 first downs and a 5-of-15 success rate on third-down conversion attempts in the loss.
In Saturday’s matchup with Texas Tech, the Knights were outgunned and outmatched on the road. UCF was down 38-2 by the end of the first half and limped to a 48-9 blowout road loss in the end. QB Tayven Jackson logged a 27-of-33 line for 178 yards, one TD and one pick. Jaden Nixon led the rush with 32 yards on 15 totes and lead receiver Dylan Wade had six catches for 45 yards and a touchdown. Duane Thomas added six catches for 39 yards as well.
Oklahoma State Cowboys @ UCF Knights Betting Trends: Week 13
UCF Knights Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 13, Jaden Nixon ranks 14th amongst FBS players for kick return yards (419) this season.
Oklahoma State Cowboys Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 13, Wes Pahl ranks 1st in the Big 12 Conference amongst qualified players for gross average yards per punt (46.3) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- UCF ranks T123rd among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (32.6).
- UCF ranks T15th among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (3.9).
- Oklahoma State ranks 136th among FBS teams for average point differential in second quarters this season (-7.9).
- Oklahoma State has lost the second quarter in each of its last nine games – longest active streak in the FBS.
Central Florida vs Oklahoma State Prediction
I’ll take a stab on the Cowboys here but realistically I’m staying away. Oklahoma State had plenty of opportunities to pull ahead of Kansas State last weekend but just couldn’t get the job done. The major culprit for the offense was the five turnovers (three picks), not to mention the tepid 5-of-12 success rate on third downs. The OK State defense performed admirably well on the other side though, giving up 284 yards, 14 first downs and just 4-of-15 on third downs. The Cowboys have had major issues scoring lately; they’ve been below 22 points in six straight games (losing all six). If things don’t change this weekend, the defense is going to have to step up in a major way once again.
As for Central Florida, they were demolished by a great Texas Tech team last weekend, giving up 499 total yards, 205 rush yards, 6.9 yards per play and 26 first downs. The offense had a couple of turnovers in addition to just 230 total yards, 3.7 yards per play and 13 first downs. The Knights have scored fewer than 12 points in three of the last five outings, a 1-4 stretch of games. This matchup could very well be a low-scoring defensive battle. It’ll be an interesting one to watch, even with both teams struggling.
