UCF vs West Virginia Prediction Football Picks Today 10/18/25

In this article we will formulate a UCF vs West Virginia prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, October 18th at FBC Mortgage Stadium in Orlando, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 8 matchup. 

UCF Knights Betting Preview

The UCF Knights are 3-3 (0-3) this year after they lost to Cincinnati by a score of 20-11 last week. UCF trailed 17-3 at halftime, but they failed to score in the third quarter, before adding eight points in the fourth in the loss. The Knights out gained Cincinnati by a total of 413-306, went 7-18 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 1-0 in the game. Cam Fancher went 28-49 for 222 yards, while also rushing for 108 yards and one score on 20 carries. Dylan Wade led the receivers with five catches for 55 yards in the loss. The UCF defense recorded zero sacks and four tackles for loss in the game. 

UCF also has losses against Kansas and Kansas State, but did get wins against North Carolina, NC A&T, and Jacksonville State. The Knights have lost three games in a row and they are currently tied for last in the Big 12 standings. UCF has scored 28.3 points per game with 222.7 passing yards and 200.3 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 17.8 points against per game this season. Cam Fancher has thrown for 333 yards, zero touchdowns, and zero interceptions, while Myles Montgomery has rushed for 434 yards and three scores on 86 carries this year. 

West Virginia Mountaineers Betting Preview

The West Virginia Mountaineers are 2-4 (0-3) this season after they lost to BYU by a score of 38-24 in their last game. West Virginia trailed 28-10 at halftime and 38-17 late in the fourth, but they scored with 1:14 left for the cover. The Mountaineers were out gained by a total of 516-291, went 7-15 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 3-2 in the game. Khalil Wilkins went 7-15 for 81 yards and two interceptions, while also rushing for 89 yards and one score on 23 carries. Cam Vaughn led the receivers with two receptions for 43 yards and one touchdown in the loss. The WVU defense recorded zero sacks and three tackles for loss in the game. 

West Virginia also has losses against Utah, Kansas, and Ohio, while picking up wins against Pittsburgh and Robert Morris. The Mountaineers have lost three games in a row and they are currently tied for last in the Big 12 standings. West Virginia has scored 22.3 points per game with 172.0 passing yards and 206.2 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 28.5 points against per game this season. Khalil Wilkins or Scotty Fox Jr will start this game at quarterback, while Cam Vaughn has 19 catches for 320 yards and three scores this season. 

Why the UCF Knights will win

• West Virginia has lost each of its last four road games.
• The favorite has won each of UCF’s last six games.
• The favorite has covered the spread in four of UCF’s last five games.
• West Virginia has failed to cover the spread in each of its last three road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• West Virginia has lost the first half in each of its last four games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of UCF’s last four October games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Eight of West Virginia’s last 10 road games against conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• UCF ranks T4th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (1.2).
• UCF ranks T13th among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (3.3).
• West Virginia ranks 132nd among FBS teams for H1 points per game this season (6.2).
• West Virginia ranks 132nd among FBS teams for average point differential in second quarters this season (-6.3).

UCF vs West Virginia Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this matchup winless in conference play, but the good news is that one team will leave here with their first win. UCF played decently well last week, but couldn’t finish drives with points. West Virginia is having quarterback issues, but did manage 24 points against BYU last time out. Neither team is very good, but this West Virginia defense has allowed 38, 48, and 41 in their last three games. Take UCF to cover at home here. 

David Racey is 70-48 (59%) in College Football this season and is one of the top College Football Handicappers on the site. Click here for his premium plays for the week!