Buffalo Bulls (3-1) vs. UCONN Huskies (2-2)
September 28, 2024 12:00 pm EDT
The Line: UCONN Huskies -4 / Buffalo Bulls +4; Over/Under: +45.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Buffalo Bulls and the UConn Huskies will meet Saturday in college football action from Rentschler Field. Here’s a UConn vs Buffalo prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best UConn vs Buffalo pick.
Buffalo Bulls Betting Preview
The Bulls had a pretty easy opener this year, dispatching Lafayette 30-13 on August 29. Buffalo was drilled by a great Missouri team in their second game however, falling 38-0. In game three the Bulls were able to rebound versus UMass, posting a blowout win 34-3.
Matched up against Northern Illinois last weekend, the Bulls posted a 17-6 scoring advantage in the second half and eventually pulled off the upset win in OT 23-20. QB CJ Ogbonna threw for 107 yards and a score. Al-Jay Henderson had 56 rush yards and a TD off 11 carries.
UConn Huskies Betting Preview
Over on the Huskies’ side, they had a tricky opener matchup versus Maryland. UConn lost that one 50-7 in a blowout. Game two marked the Huskies first win 63-17, but they wouldn’t remain .500 for long with a 26-21 loss to Duke in game three.
In their game versus Florida Atlantic, the Huskies scored 31 points in the second half in order to secure a victory 48-14. Nick Evers threw for 88 yards and a score. Jayden Brown (156 yards) and Durell Robinson (156 yards; two TDs) did most of the work on the ground, though.
Why the Connecticut Huskies will win
- The home team has won each of Connecticut’s last four games.
- Buffalo has lost each of its last three road games against non-conference opponents.
- Connecticut has covered the spread in each of its last four games in September.
- Buffalo has failed to cover the spread in each of its last three games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
Why the Buffalo Bulls will win
- Connecticut has lost 13 of its last 16 September games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Buffalo has won three of its last four games in September.
- Buffalo has covered the spread in five of its last six September games as a road underdog.
- Connecticut has failed to cover the spread in 11 of its last 14 September games as a favorite.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Buffalo’s last six games after coming off overtime have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of Connecticut’s last four September games at Pratt & Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field have gone OVER the total points line.
UConn vs Buffalo Prediction
I’ll stay with UConn. The Huskies posted a nice 542 yards (421 rushing) against FAU in their latest win, adding 32 first downs and a 5-of-10 rate on third-down tries. UConn held the ball for a whopping 40:45, and if they can keep their running game going here the Huskies will be in great shape.
As for Buffalo, they notched a stellar victory over NIU last weekend. The offensive numbers were pretty rough, though: 184 total yards (107 passing), nine first downs and 2-of-15 on third-down tries. The Bulls should be competitive here if they can avoid the proverbial “big-win hangover” but I think they’ll come down to earth cover-wise.
