Arkansas State Red Wolves (1-3) vs. UL Monroe Warhawks (2-1)
September 27, 2025 3:00 pm EDT
The Line: UL Monroe Warhawks -1.5; Over/Under: 53.5
(Get latest betting odds)
Louisiana Monroe and Arkansas State meet Saturday in Week 5 college football action from Malone Stadium. Here’s a Louisiana Tech vs Arkansas State prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Louisiana-Monroe Warkhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves pick.
Arkansas State is Struggling
Arkansas State won the first game of the season against Southeast Missouri State, but since that point they have had some struggles. Two games ago against Iowa State, they lost 24-16, but in the last game against Kennesaw State, they lost 28-21. At the end of the first quarte,r they were down 21-0, and although they fought back a bit, it was too big of a whole. Jaylen Raynor completed 25 of his 41 passes for 226 yards, two touchdowns, and zero interceptions. Hunter Summers was had a huge game finishing with eight carries for 114 yards and a touchdown.
Arkansas State on the season, is averaging 23.25 points while their defense is giving up 33 points per game. The offense is ranked 96th in college football, while the defense is ranked 122nd. In this game, the defense is going to need to be a whole lot better.
Why the Arkansas State Red Wolves will win
- Louisiana-Monroe has lost 15 of its last 18 games against conference opponents.
- Louisiana-Monroe has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven September games as a favorite.
- Arkansas State has covered the spread in eight of its last 10 September games as a road underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
Can Louisiana-Monroe Build on Last Game?
Louisiana-Monroe in the last game faced off against UTEP and they were able to secure the 31-25 victory. They were outscored 14-0 in the 4th quarter, and that made the game a lot closer than it needed to be, but they still came away with the win. The Warhawks were outscored 15-0 in the 4th quarter and they almost blew the game, but somehow someway they still held on for the win. Aidan Armenta is under center and he completed 8 of his 14 passes for 136 yards and two touchdowns. Getting out to a fast start against this Arkansas State defense is going to be a major key here.
Why the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks will win
- Louisiana-Monroe has won seven of its last eight September games at Malone Stadium.
- Arkansas State has lost each of its last five games in September.
- Louisiana-Monroe has covered the spread in each of its last four September games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Arkansas State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last three September games against non-AP-ranked teams.
Louisiana Monroe vs Arkansas State Prediction
Louisiana-Monroe’s last game looked a lot closer than it should have been because they let their foot off the gas in the 4th quarter, but they aren’t going to make the same mistake here. Louisiana Monroe’s defense gave up 25 points in the last game, but Arkansas State’s offense is going to struggle to even get to that number here. Arkansas State will struggle to get to 17 points, and ULM is going to come out on top. Back Louisiana-Monroe to win this game and cover the spread.
