UMass vs Buffalo Prediction Football Picks Today 10/18/25

In this article we will formulate a UMass vs Buffalo prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, October 18th at Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium in Amherst, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 8 matchup. 

UMass Minutemen Betting Preview

The UMass Minutemen are 0-6 (0-2) this year after they lost to Kent State by a score of 42-6 last week. UMass trailed 21-6 at halftime and was shutout in the second half for the embarrassing loss. The Minutemen were out gained by a total of 330-271, went 6-20 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 2-0 in the game. AJ Hairston went 26-48 for 227 yards and one interception, while Brandon Hood rushed 10 times for 36 yards. Jake McConnachie led the receivers with seven catches for 67 yards in the game. The UMass defense recorded one sack and five tackles for loss in the defeat. 

UMass also has losses against Western Michigan, Missouri, Iowa, Bryant, and Temple. The Minutemen are looking for their first win of the season and they are last in the MAC standings. UMass has scored 9.7 points per game with 180.7 passing yards and 58.3 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 36.8 points against per game this season. AJ Hairston has thrown for 517 yards, one touchdown, and three interceptions, while Jacquon Gibson has 36 receptions for 358 yards this year. 

Buffalo Bulls Betting Preview

The Buffalo Bulls are 3-3 (2-0) this season after they defeated Eastern Michigan in overtime by a score of 31-30 in their last game. Buffalo was tied at 14 at the half and tied at 24 at the end of regulation, but they stopped EMU’s two point conversion for the win in overtime. The Bulls were out gained by a total of 395-387, went 7-15 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 1-0 in the game. Ta’Quan Roberson went 19-38 for 272 yards and three touchdowns, while Al-Jay Henderson rushed 16 times for 81 yards. Victor Snow led the receivers with six catches for 136 yards and two scores in the win. The Buffalo defense recorded zero sacks and four tackles for loss in the game. 

Buffalo also has wins against Kent State and St. Francis, while getting losses against UConn, Troy, and Minnesota. The Bulls have lost two of their last three games and they are currently tied for second in the MAC standings. Buffalo has scored 25.2 points per game with 184.7 passing yards and 166.2 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 21.3 points against per game this season. Ta’Quan Roberson has thrown for 934 yards, eight touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Al-Jay Henderson has rushed for 418 yards and four scores on 112 carries this season. 

Why the Buffalo Bulls will win

• Massachusetts has lost each of its last 10 games.
• Buffalo has won each of its last six games against conference opponents.
• Buffalo has covered the spread in each of its last six October games as a road favorite.
• Massachusetts has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Massachusetts has lost the first half in 15 of its last 18 games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of Buffalo’s last nine games against conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of Massachusetts’ last four games in October have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Massachusetts ranks 136th among FBS teams for points per game this season (9.7).
• Massachusetts has suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of 20+ points of any FBS team this season (3).
• Buffalo has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of three points or less of any FBS team this season (1).
• Four of Buffalo’s six games this season have been decided by a margin of seven points or less – equal-most amongst FBS teams.

UMass vs Buffalo Prediction 

Buffalo rolls into this contest undefeated in conference play, but neither win has been very convincing. The Bulls have allowed 58 points in their first two MAC games, but will play a UMass offense that has been awful. The Minutemen have scored 7 points or fewer in four straight games and just lost by 36 points to Kent State. I know we haven’t been super impressed with Buffalo, but I have to fade UMass with how they are playing this year. Take Buffalo to cover on the road here. 

David Racey is 70-48 (59%) in College Football this season and is one of the top College Football Handicappers on the site. Click here for his premium plays for the week!